Weather:

Weather Wobble

Jet Stream tornados

Siberian Freeze Weather Wobble

Wild weather , [2]

Wobble Clouds

Hurricane development

Violent Push

Weather & ocean currents

Europe Weather

Tides and Whirlpools:

Storm Clash whirlpools

Lurch of earth

Tides , [2]

Whirlpools

Wobble Sloshing

 


"We warned at the start of ZetaTalk, in 1995, that unpredictable weather extremes, switching about from drought to deluge, would occur and increase on a lineal basis up until the pole shift. Where this occurred steadily, it has only recently become undeniable. ZetaTalk, and only ZetaTalk, warned of these weather changes, at that early date. Our early warnings spoke to the issue of global heating from the core outward, hardly Global Warming, a surface or atmospheric issue, but caused by consternation in the core. Affected by the approach of Planet X, which was by then starting to zoom rapidly toward the inner solar system for its periodic passage, the core was churning, melting the permafrost and glaciers and riling up volcanoes. When the passage did not occur as expected in 2003 because Planet X had stalled in the inner solar system, we explained the increasing weather irregularities in the context of the global wobble that had ensued - weather wobbles where the Earth is suddenly forced under air masses, churning them. This evolved by 2005 into a looping jet stream, loops breaking away and turning like a tornado to affect the air masses underneath. Meanwhile, on Planet Earth, droughts had become more intractable and deluges positively frightening, temperature swings bringing snow in summer in the tropics and searing heat in Artic regions, with the violence of storms increasing in number and ferocity."

ZETATALK

 

From the ZetaTalk Chat Q&A for February 4, 2012:

 

The wobble seems to have changed, as the temperature in Europe suddenly plunged after being like an early Spring, Alaska has its coldest temps ever while the US and much of Canada is having an extremely mild winter. India went from fatal cold spell to balmy again. Has the Earth changed position vs a vs Planet X to cause this? [and from another] Bitter cold records broken in Alaska - all time coldest record nearly broken, but Murphy's Law intervenes [Jan 30] http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/01/30/bitter-cold-records-broken-in-alaska Jim River, AK closed in on the all time record coldest temperature of -80°F set in 1971, which is not only the Alaska all-time record, but the record for the entire United States. Unfortunately, it seems the battery died in the weather station just at the critical moment. While the continental USA has a mild winter and has set a number of high temperature records in the last week and pundits ponder whether they will be blaming the dreaded "global warming" for those temperatures, Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week.

There has been no change in the wobble pattern, the wobble has merely become more severe. Nancy noted a Figure 8 format when the Earth wobble first became noticeable, in early 2005, after Planet X moved into the inner solar system at the end of 2003. The Figure 8 shifted along to the east a bit on the globe between 2005 and 2009, (the last time Nancy took its measure) as Planet X came closer to the Earth, encountering the magnetic N Pole with a violent push earlier in the day. But the pattern of the Figure 8 remained essentially the same. So what changed recently that the weather patterns became noticeably different in late January, 2012?

The N Pole is pushed away when it comes over the horizon, when the noon Sun is centered over the Pacific. This regularly puts Alaska under colder air, with less sunlight, and thus the historically low temps there this January, 2012 as the wobble has gotten stronger. But by the time the Sun is positioned over India, the N Pole has swung during the Figure 8 so the globe tilts, and this tilt is visible in the weather maps from Asia. The tilt has forced the globe under the hot air closer to the Equator, warming the land along a discernable tilt demarcation line.

The next loop of the Figure 8 swings the globe so that the N Pole moves in the other direction, putting the globe again at a tilt but this time in the other direction. This tilt is discernable in weather maps of Europe, again along a diagonal line. Depending upon air pressure and temperature differences, the weather on either side of this diagonal line may be suddenly warm or suddenly cold. The tilt and diagonal line lingers to affect much of the US and Canada, but the Figure 8 changes at this point to be an up and down motion, pulling the geographic N Pole south so the US is experiencing a warmer than expected winter under a stronger Sun. Then the cycle repeats, with the magnetic N Pole of Earth pushed violently away again as the Sun is positioned over the Pacific.

 

From the ZetaTalk Chat Q&A for April 6, 2013:

 

Would the Zetas be able to let us know what is causing the early break-up of the Arctic Ice, the ice seems to have taken on a swirling pattern at the same time, would this be wobble related? [and from another] http://www.vancouversun.com/news/national/Canada+Arctic+cracks+spec... The ice in Canada’s western Arctic ripped open in a massive “fracturing event” this spring that spread like a wave across 1,000 kilometres of the Beaufort Sea. Huge leads of water – some more than 500 kilometres long and as much as 70 kilometres across – opened up from Alaska to Canada’s Arctic islands as the massive ice sheet cracked as it was pushed around by strong winds and currents. It took just seven days for the fractures to progress across the entire area from west to east. [and from another] http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=80752&src=iot... A high-pressure weather system was parked over the region, producing warmer temperatures and winds that flowed in a southwesterly direction. That fueled the Beaufort Gyre, a wind-driven ocean current that flows clockwise. The gyre was the key force pulling pieces of ice west past Point Barrow, the northern nub of Alaska that protrudes into the Beaufort Sea.


The Figure 8 formed by the N Pole during the daily Earth wobble has shifted somewhat to the East, due to Planet X positioned more to the right of the Earth during its approach. This was anticipated, and well described in ZetaTalk, the Earth crowding to the left in the cup to escape the approach of Planet X, so the angle between these two planets would change slightly. This shift of the Figure 8 to the East is due to the push against the Earth’s magnetic N Pole occurring sooner each day than prior. Thus instead of occurring when the Sun is high over the Pacific, over New Zealand, it is now occurring when the Sun is high over Alaska. All the wobble points have shifted eastward accordingly.

This has brought a lingering Winter to the western US, and a changed sloshing pattern to the Arctic waters. Instead of Pacific waters being pushed through the Bering Straits into the Arctic when the polar push occurs, the wobble is swinging the Arctic to the right, and then later to the left, creating a circular motion in the waters trapped in the Arctic. Since the Earth rotates counterclockwise, the motion also takes this path. This is yet another piece of evidence that the establishment is hard pressed to explain. They are attempting to ascribe this to high pressure and wind, all of which are not new to the Arctic, but this circular early breakup of ice in the Arctic is new.

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Comment by Howard on December 11, 2012 at 12:07am

'Fist-Sized' Hail Damages Hundred of Homes Near Johannesburg South Africa (Dec 9) -
More than 500 houses have been damaged in Ladysmith by "fist-sized" hail stones.  The storm hit the Akasia area of Ladysmith on Sunday evening.

No deaths or injuries had been reported, although an unknown number of families had been forced to take shelter in a local school hall.

Mabaso warned that the province should continue to brace itself for inclement weather.

"We have no prediction of any area, but there is a constant change in weather conditions and we will constantly advise people as it changes."

The public had to make sure their homes were safe and find out whether they lived on a flood plain.

"You must be able to know who to contact in a case of emergency. When it rains, don't just sit and pretend it's normal," he said.

Source

Comment by lonne rey on December 9, 2012 at 9:37pm

Record snowfall seen in Missoula

MISSOULA - Missoula residents sure are seeing white...lots of white.

The National Weather Service reports that Friday's snowfall set a record for the day.

NWS says 7.7 inches was recorded at Missoula International Airport, shattering the old record of 3.5 inches set in 1971.

Heavy snow fell all across Western Montana, including in Flathead County.

The National Weather Service reports nearly two feet of snow has fallen in the last 24 hours near Essex. That has U.S. Highway 2 down to one lane one mile north of Essex.

Around 10 inches of snow was reported near Libby, about eight inches of snow was reported near Creston and five inches was recorded near Condon and Heron.

 

Comment by KM on December 9, 2012 at 1:44am

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2244458/Arctic-Britain-Sibe...

Freezing Britain: Siberian front brings ice, snow and -16C temperatures (but at least these skiers are enjoying themselves)

  • Temperatures expected to dip from Sunday with frozen conditions bringing chaos to the roads later in the week
  • Commuters pictured battling through heavy snow in Leeds, Newcastle and Lincolnshire
  • AA warn drivers to be prepared for treacherous conditions and advise grit is ineffective below -9C
  • Icy gusts from the east will bring a wind chill factor of -16C next week, according to Met Office forecasters
  • Follows a week of transport chaos with airports closing and dramatic car crashes putting police officers and a boy of 11 into hospital

By Daily Mail Reporter

|

With icy blasts sweeping in from Siberia expected to send the mercury plummeting from as early as tomorrow afternoon, skiers made a rare UK appearance this morning enjoying an unexpected spot of glorious sunshine.

The intrepid winter sportsmen took to the gentle slopes of the South Tyne Valley, near Alston, in Cumbria, and if forecasters are correct there will be plenty more of the white stuff to come.

After today's brief respite, many parts of Britain face their first significant snow of the winter, with freezing winds, treacherous ice and sub-zero temperatures forecast for much of  next week.

The Met Office has warned that snow will ‘march relentlessly’ down the East coast and by mid-week temperatures there will struggle to rise above freezing – day or night. In some parts of the country, the mercury could plunge as low as -16C (3F).

Forecasters said bitter easterly winds – dubbed ‘the Beast from the East’ – will arrive after a mild weekend in which temperatures could rise to 9C (16F) in the South.

Scroll down for video

A skier enjoys the morning weather in South Tyne Valley, near Alston, Cumbria. Forecasters warn icy Siberian blasts will bring further bad weather from tomorrow afternoon

A skier enjoys the morning weather in South Tyne Valley, near Alston, Cumbria. Forecasters warn icy Siberian blasts will bring further bad weather from tomorrow afternoon

Making the most of it: Skier Nigel Rowell enjoys perfect conditions for a spot of cross country skiing in the South Tyne Valley, near Alston, in Cumbria

Making the most of it: Skier Nigel Rowell enjoys perfect conditions for a spot of cross country skiing in the South Tyne Valley, near Alston, in Cumbria

Comment by KM on December 8, 2012 at 3:18am

http://www.cnn.com/2012/12/07/world/world-affiliates-severe-weather...

Severe weather leaves trail of destruction

By Summer Suleiman, CNN
updated 1:35 PM EST, Fri December 7, 2012
Watch this video

Weather extremes across the world

STORY HIGHLIGHTS
  • From CNN's global affiliates, check out some of this week's extreme weather conditions
  • A typhoon in the Philippines has killed 148 people and destroyed thousands of homes
  • Near Auckland, New Zealand, a tornado injured more than 200 people

(CNN) -- This past week saw severe weather in many parts of the world that took dozens of lives and left behind serious damage.

Here's a look at some of the extreme weather stories covered by CNN's global affiliates, including a typhoon in the Philippines and a tornado in New Zealand.

Unlikely typhoon in the Philippines

Typhoon Bopha devastated the Compostela Valley region in the southern Philippines early this week. At least 148 people have died and thousands of homes have been destroyed, according to TV5. Typhoons are uncommon in the Bopha region. Watch the video above to see how the storm knocked down power lines.

Tornado strikes near Auckland

A tornado ripped through the outskirts of Auckland, New Zealand's largest city, killing three people and leaving more than 200 people injured, according to TVNZ. About 150 homes were left without power.

Flooding in Argentina's capital

Heavy rains in the Argentinian capital of Buenos Aires left two people dead, forced evacuations and flooded nearly 9 million acres of farmland, Canal 9 said. See some of the most serious flooding in the video above.

Hard to see in Chinese province

Dense fog in the province of Sichuan caused heavy traffic and temporary highway closures in southwestern China. In some areas, visibility was reduced to less than 200 meters. Check out the fog in the video above from CCTV.

Poland's winter wonderland

Seven centimeters of snow fell in the city of Lublin on Monday. The snow brought with it temperatures of minus 1 degree Celsius (30 degrees Fahrenheit). In the nearby town of Bialystok, nine cars collided, causing one injury. See the snow in the video above, courtesy of TVN.

Comment by Jon on December 6, 2012 at 11:24am

Bopha: the 2nd most southerly typhoon on record

Bopha is likely to hit at Category 4 or 5 strength, making it the strongest typhoon ever recorded in Mindanao.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=...

Comment by Robyn Appleton on December 4, 2012 at 1:00am

EDIS Number:    TC-20121203-37381-PHL
Event type:    Tropical Storm
Date/Time:    Monday, 03 December, 2012 at 17:17 (05:17 PM) UTC
Continent:    Pacific Ocean - West
Country:    Philippines
Area:    Mindanao Regions
Coordinate:    N 11° 57.201, E 123° 8.086

An impending major catastrophe is likely to occur in the southern Philippines from super typhoon Bopha during the next 12-24 hours. Bopha is set to deliver wind gusts of 160-180mph (260-290 kmph) in a swathe across northern central Mindanao. A major disaster is now almost certain for this region. Bopha's projected landfall is close to that of tropical storm Washi a year ago. Washi killed over 1200 people. However, Bopha's landfall wind intensity will be considerably higher than that of Washi and the disaster potentially greater (although rainfall will be less).

Typhoon Bopha bears down on Philippines

Infrared satellite image of super typhoon Bopha early Monday-hat tip: Stu Ostro

Via NASA: “One of the Expedition 34 crew members aboard the International Space Station captured this still image of Super Typhoon Bopha on Dec. 2, 2012.”

Forecast track for super typhoon Bopha (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Source

 

Millions of people in the Philippines are bracing themselves as hugely powerful Typhoon Bopha roars ashore on the southern island of Mindanao.
Boasting sustained winds of around 259 km/h, it is the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane.
And it is hitting a part of the archipelago nation that is the least prepared to handle the impact.
The Philippines as a whole is no stranger to typhoons, but Mindanao -- The country's second-largest island and home to almost a quarter of the nation's population -- is too close to the equator see them regularly.
The last time the island was hit by a typhoon was in 2011, by Tropical Storm Washi.
Although that storm boasted far-weaker wind speeds of just under 100 km/h, it caused widespread flooding that left more than 1,200 people dead.
On Monday, thousands of villagers fled Bopha's approach.
The Philippine army has been moving people out of high-risk coastal villages and along rivers, with thousands already in emergency shelters.
Mining operations in several communities have been halted and evacuations ordered, for fear of landslides and tunnel collapses similar to those that struck the region in recent storms.
This is the strongest typhoon to hit the southern Philippines in 22 years, after Super Typhoon Ruping struck in 1990.
Bopha became a typhoon at 3.8 degrees north of the equator on Nov. 30.

 

Source

Comment by KM on December 3, 2012 at 3:41am

Sidmouth, east Devon, South West Britain.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2242020/Frame-frame-The-dra...

Pictured: Dramatic moment huge chunk of Jurassic coastline crashes 100ft on to beach after heavy rainfall 

  • Red sandstone cliff in Sidmouth is part of the Dorset and East Devon world heritage site
  • Residents claim it is the fifth collapse along the 95 mile stretch of historic coastline in a week
  • Experts claim cracks in the rock-face are being caused by too much rain

By Daily Mail Reporter

|

This is the dramatic moment when a whole chunk of Jurassic coastline came crashing down on to a beach.

The rain soaked clifftop plunged 100 feet to the pebbled beach below at Sidmouth, east Devon.

The moment was captured by John Austin, 70, who spotted a crack in the red sandstone cliffs while out for a walk last week.

A crack on the surface: Part of a red sandstone cliff in Sidmouth, east Devon, begins to break away

A crack on the surface: A large crack is visible along a red sandstone cliff in Sidmouth, east Devon

Going, going... The cliff in the Dorset and East Devon world heritage site begins to break away

Going, going... The cliff situated in the Dorset and East Devon world heritage site begins to break away

Armed with his camera, Mr Austin, from Sidmouth, snapped away as tonnes of rock and mud hurtled down to the empty beach.

Local people claim it is the fifth fall in a week after the ground became saturated with torrential rain with residents in Cliff Road seeing large parts of their elongated rear gardens disappear from sight.

In one garden a wooden shed sits on the edge of the fall - with its owners no longer going anywhere near the hut.

Security barriers erected at the end of another garden lay crumpled on the beach below along with grass and trees.

The latest massive fall has led to calls for emergency action to be taken as more heavy rainfall is due to hit the region.

The Dorset and East Devon world heritage site stretches 95 miles with rocks recording 185 million years of the Earth's history.

Another section of the Jurassic coast at Charmouth on the Devon-Dorset border was also cordoned off after a crack was spotted in the cliff.

In August five people were unhurt after a landslip between Charmouth and Golden Cap.


And ten miles further along the Dorset coast at Burton Bradstock, holidaymaker Charlotte Blackman died in a massive landslide in July.

Mr Austin said: 'It's the first time I've seen anything like that.'

Another local resident Philip Field has been studying the cliff for the last 25 years.

Comment by KM on November 30, 2012 at 12:19am
Comment by Shaun Kazuck on November 29, 2012 at 10:42am

I am truly not sure where to place this story so if moderators could assist it would be much appreciated.  This is tied into the flooding in England as well as general prep for what is to come to that island.  Many references to the flooding problems much of Europe faces.

Moderator's Comment: I think you've found the perfect place for this idea, as the wobble creates so much flooding. What a top notch idea!

Are floating homes a solution to UK floods?

Floating house, Colombia
A floating house in Colombia, modelled on a Dutch design

The recent flooding across the UK has seen hundreds of householders desperately trying to prevent water from entering their houses.

Most use the centuries-old approach of piling heavy sandbags at their doors and windows.

But what if your house was buoyant - rising at the same level as the surrounding water?

Earlier this year, Baca Architects was granted permission to build Britain's first amphibious house by the banks of the River Thames in Buckinghamshire - one that rests on land, but in the event of a flood rises with the water.

The Environment Agency is interested in the idea of such floating homes, says the agency's flood risk engineer Tony Andryszewski who often works at a flood test centre, set up to investigate new technologies for flood prevention and control.

The agency is keen on seeing how other countries approach the problem, he says, especially in the Netherlands.

The Dutch are widely acknowledged as having the best flood management technologies in the world.

Floating houses, Canada
 
Floating houses in British Columbia, Canada, are designed differently from the ones in Holland

Even the flood forecasting software used by the Environment Agency, Delft-FEWS, has been developed by the Dutch.

Flood-proofing

Such know-how is not surprising - much of the Netherlands' land mass is below sea level, and even the country's name reflects its low-lying topography,

Since the 12th Century people have been draining delta swamps and creating artificial dry land - polders - at first using pumps powered by windmills.

Currently, there are about 3,500 low-lying polders enclosed by dykes in the Netherlands. They easily collect water from rain, rivers and the sea, and are constantly being pumped to keep nearby communities dry.

"The Dutch have built dykes for over 1,000 years," says Jos Maccabiani from Flood Control 2015, a Dutch government programme charged with developing better information systems for managing floods.

"Since the last major flood in 1953, in which more than 1,800 people died, this system has been upgraded to very high standards."

According to computer simulations, today's defences in the Netherlands are supposed to withstand the kind of flood so severe that it would occur only once in 10,000 years, he explains.

There are dams all around the country, guarding all main river estuaries and sea inlets.

The Netherlands
 
Many Dutch live below sea level so flood management technology is vital

"Nevertheless, with the ever-increasing urbanisation of our polders and flood plains, spatial planning is increasingly combined with flood resilience," adds Mr Maccabiani.

"There are projects under way where urban revitalisation of a city is combined with the widening of the river bed, lowering the peak water levels, and others that look into flood-proofing the country's highway infrastructure."

Ready to float?

One Dutch technology that the UK is observing keenly is the "smart levee", designed in the Netherlands as part of an EU research project, UrbanFlood.

Amphibious house design
An amphibious house rises with the water level - and sinks to its original position when the flood subsides

Sensors are put inside flood embankments, as an early online warning system and for real-time emergency management. The technology constantly monitors the condition of the levee, and sends a warning when it is weakening.

Another innovation that Britain has already started to adopt is movable river barriers - installed in the ground, they rise with the water.

Dutch floating houses are also on the Environment Agency's radar, says Mr Andryszewski.

Homes on stilts are common in flood-prone countries such as Thailand, Burma and India. Floating houses of different designs exist in a few places too, namely in Germany, Canada, the US, and even on Taggs Island in the UK, where some 60 homes are attached to piles driven into the riverbed of the Thames.

But creating an amphibious home - placing a house on a platform that makes the house float in case of a flood - has only recently been looked at in the Netherlands.

In 2005, Dutch firm Dura Vermeer built several buoyant houses in the village of Maasbommel, along the Maas River, about 60 miles (100km) from Amsterdam.

House on stilts, Myanmar
 
Houses on stilts have existed for centuries in flood-prone areas - like this one at Inle Lake, Burma

They rise as the water rises, keeping occupants and their possessions dry. When the floods subside, the houses sink to their original position.

The houses float on hollow pontoons made of concrete and timber. All pipes and ducts for water, gas, electricity, and sewage disposal are flexible and keep functioning even when a house rises several metres.

Unlike boats, the houses can't drift away, as they are kept in place by sturdy posts set deep into the ground.

Currently, Dutch architectural company Waterstudio is planning to build an entire apartment complex on water, which it says could accommodate hundreds of people.

'Sandless' sandbags

Even if the UK doesn't build floating houses any time soon, there are some innovations that could at least replace the heavy sandbags.

UK entrepreneur Richard Bailey designed lightweight bags that expand on contact with water - and also absorb it.

"It was first designed for the Ministry of Defence," says Mr Bailey, explaining that his company FloodSax was asked to create an easily portable alternative to sandbags for the army's bomb disposal unit.

Floods, UK
 
Traditional heavy sandbags are still common, despite existing alternatives

"We put the bag into a barrage unit, the water comes in, gets soaked into the bag, the bag expands, blocking the water at the door.

"Or unfortunately when someone has been flooded, you can put it down in the house, soak up the water and the mud as well, so that you can get back into your house a little quicker."

There are other firms offering similar technology, such as Thailand-based Nanotec or another UK company, HydroSack, and FloodSax's bags are now being used in many countries across the world.

"Unfortunately though, they are still not as popular as the traditional sandbags, because not everyone is aware of the innovation," says Mr Bailey.

But Mr Andryszewski is confident that the UK will continue to use more and more innovative technology - there are already numerous places that use watertight submarine-type doors, he says, and the flood test centre is busy experimenting with other original approaches to keep the land - and homes - as dry as possible.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-20502736

Comment by Howard on November 28, 2012 at 4:17am

First the Mississippi River, now the Great Lakes:

Water Levels in Great Lakes Approaching Record Lows (Nov 27) -

http://news.yahoo.com/great-lakes-plummet-towns-try-save-harbors-19...

For more than a century, easy access to Lake Michigan has made Onekama a popular place for summer visitors and a refuge for boaters fleeing dangerous storms. Now the community itself needs a rescue, from slumping lake levels that threaten its precious link to open water.

The Great Lakes, the world's biggest freshwater system, are shrinking because of drought and rising temperatures, a trend that accelerated with this year's almost snowless winter and scorching summer. Water levels have fallen to near-record lows on Lakes Michigan and Huron, while Erie, Ontario and Superior are below their historical averages. The decline is causing heavy economic losses, with cargo freighters forced to lighten their loads, marinas too shallow for pleasure boats and weeds sprouting on exposed bottomlands, chasing away swimmers and sunbathers.

Some of the greatest suffering is in small tourist towns that lack the economic diversity of bigger port cities. Yet they are last in line for federal money to deepen channels and repair infrastructure to support the boating traffic that keeps them afloat.

"How do you like our mud bog?" Township Supervisor Dave Meister asked on a recent afternoon, gesturing toward the shoreline of Portage Lake, part of a 2,500-acre inland waterway that connects Onekama to Lake Michigan. A wide expanse that normally would be submerged is now an ugly patchwork of puddles, muck and thick stands of head-high cattails. A grounded pontoon boat rested forlornly alongside a deserted dock.

The Army Corps of Engineers has estimated that about 30 small Great Lakes harbors will need attention in the next couple of years.

In bygone days, friendly members of Congress would slip money into the federal budget to dredge a harbor. But so-called earmarks have fallen out of favor, leaving business and civic leaders wondering where to turn. A desperate few are raising money locally for dredging but insist they can't afford it on a regular basis.

Tourism has sustained Onekama since the early 1900s, when northwestern Michigan coastal towns became popular with wealthy visitors from Chicago, Milwaukee and Detroit. On a typical summer day, the community's marinas are crowded with yachts, speedboats and fishing charters.

But the falling water levels are taking a toll, illustrating how extensively the health of the Great Lakes affects the economy of a region that is home to more than 30 million people extending from Minnesota to New York.

Lake Michigan's level at the end of October was more than 2 feet below its long-term average. The Corps of Engineers says without heavy snowfall this winter, the lake may decline to its lowest point since record-keeping began in 1918.

The channel that connects Portage Lake and Lake Michigan is now about 7 feet deep at best. When the water is choppy, some vessels can hit bottom. If things get much worse, Onekama may be effectively cut off from the big lake.

"Businesses would close. People would be laid off. It would be devastating," said Jim Mrozinski, owner of Onekama Marine Inc., which services and stores pleasure craft and draws customers from across the Upper Midwest. He owns three marinas, one now unusable because of shallow water. If he's lucky, the others will have enough depth to rent perhaps 10 of the 55 slips next spring.

Onekama's year-round population is less than 2,000. Much of its tax base comes from expensive waterfront homes owned by summer residents who come for the boating and fishing. Without the link to Lake Michigan, property values would plummet, hammering local government budgets, Meister said.

"You're talking about schools, 911 emergency, library, fire protection — everything," he said.

Many places around the Great Lakes are having similar problems. At least a dozen boats have run aground this year in Lake Ontario around the harbor in Orleans County, N.Y. The state of Wisconsin warned boaters to watch for stumps, boulders and other hazards lurking just beneath the water. Boat-towing services have done brisk business rescuing stranded craft in newly shallow stretches of Lake Erie.

What makes the situation particularly frustrating for small Great Lakes communities is that a fund for dredging and other harbor maintenance already exists. It's generated by a tax on freight shipped at U.S. ports and raises about $1.5 billion a year. But about half of the money is diverted to the treasury for other uses. Members of Congress from coastal states are pushing to change that policy.

Even if the effort succeeds, there's no guarantee that communities like Onekama will get a share of the cash. The Corps of Engineers gives top priority to large ports such as Duluth, Minn., Detroit and Cleveland. Whatever is left goes to medium-sized harbors that also accommodate cargo ships. The region's 112 small harbors, including 71 with only recreational traffic, have relied on budget earmarks since the 1990s.

"Many of these towns wouldn't exist if it wasn't for their ports," said Mike O'Bryan, chief of engineering and technical services for the Detroit district office.

The Great Lakes Small Harbors Coalition, led by Onekama retiree Chuck May, says $20 million a year would cover all those areas' dredging and maintenance costs, and rescue tourist communities that pump billions into the economy.

Farther up the coast near Sleeping Bear Dunes National Lakeshore, the village of Leland scraped together more than $100,000 from a local Indian tribe, businesses and government agencies this year to dredge a 13-foot-deep channel enabling charter fishing boats and pleasure craft to reach Lake Michigan. Harbormaster Russell Dzuba is already fundraising to dredge in 2013 but says that's no long-term solution.

"We have a moral obligation to keep this place open," he said. "We're the only safe harbor for a 75-mile stretch and Lake Michigan is a tempestuous beast. But the feds have cut us adrift."

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