🌍 One Wobble, Two Connected Layers: Plate Movement and Global Weather

An ongoing observation thread for ZetaTalk followers
Initial period: 24 August to 2 September 2026

The daily Earth wobble has been underway for a long time. It did not suddenly begin in August 2026. What stands out in this period is the increasingly visible overlap between two expressions of the same intensified wobble:

  1. Atmospheric disruption above, including displaced air masses, pressure shifts, heat domes, violent thunderstorms, tornadoes, extreme rainfall and rapid temperature reversals.
  2. Increasing plate movement below, including compression, stretching, earthquakes, landslides, volcanic unrest and movement along plate borders and ocean ridges.

The purpose of this blog is to keep both layers together. Weather events should not be studied separately from plate stress, and plate activity should not be viewed without considering the daily wobble and its effect on the atmosphere.

The daily wobble and the four Earth faces

The “faces” identify which broad longitude sector is facing the Sun during each part of the daily Figure-8 wobble. They are not separate forces or separate wobbles. They are successive phases of one daily motion.

Pacific / New Zealand Face. Polar Push
The magnetic North Pole is pushed away. A new daily wobble cycle and renewed global stress begin.

India Face. Lean Right
Compression around the Himalayas and the India Plate “Brake” becomes especially relevant.

Italy / Europe Face. Lean Left
The earlier lean reverses. European and Mediterranean circulation and plate loading can change sharply.

Atlantic / Americas Face. Bounce Back
The globe rebounds from the preceding lean, affecting the Atlantic and Americas before the next Polar Push.

Because the atmosphere, oceans and crust respond differently, the wobble does not produce the same effect everywhere at the same moment. One region can experience trapped heat while another receives violent storms or flooding. One plate border can be compressed while a distant ridge or subduction zone releases accumulated stress.

The significant feature is the organized global overlap, not one isolated weather record or earthquake.

24 August: the Pomas tornado during the Atlantic transition

On 24 August, a destructive tornado struck Pomas in southern France at approximately 15:00 to 15:20 UTC. It injured 39 people and damaged about 300 homes. Around 100 homes were reportedly left unsafe or uninhabitable. Winds were estimated above 200 km/h, with later assessments placing the tornado around the EF2 to EF3 range.

The tornado did not form in isolation. Southern France and the western Mediterranean had already experienced repeated heatwaves, drought, very dry ground and exceptionally warm water. The tornado occurred during a larger outbreak involving severe thunderstorms, hail, destructive winds, flooding and tens of thousands of lightning strikes across a corridor extending from Spain and southern France toward Corsica.

Its timing is especially relevant. At approximately 15:20 UTC, Europe was rotating away from the Italy Face Lean Left and into the Atlantic/Americas Bounce Back. This is the part of the daily wobble when the previous lean reverses and Atlantic pressure patterns can shift quickly.

The event therefore fits the following sequence:

European Lean Left → Atlantic transition → collision of warm African and cooler Atlantic air → rotating storms and destructive weather

The tornado was one atmospheric expression of a much wider transition involving trapped heat, sharp pressure changes and rapidly reorganizing air masses.

26 August: the India Plate “Brake” and the Tibet mudslide

On 26 August, a catastrophic collapse occurred directly along the Nepal-Tibet border. Glacier ice, rock, mud and water moved down the mountain system, producing a destructive debris flow and flash flooding through the border region.

The seismic signal was initially reported as an earthquake of about magnitude 5.2. Later analysis identified the signal as being produced by the enormous landslide itself. The essential ZetaTalk question is what destabilized the glacier, rock and water at this precise plate boundary.

ZetaTalk identifies movement of the India Plate as the trigger. The India Plate is being pushed beneath the Himalayas and acts as the “Brake” within global plate movement. When this brake moves, other plates are temporarily freer to adjust.

The location is central to the interpretation. The collapse occurred directly on the India-Tibet plate border, where compression and plate-border trauma would be expected when India is driven farther beneath the Himalayas. This movement destabilized the mountain mass, releasing rock, ice and accumulated water.

The mudslide should therefore be understood as more than a weather-related glacier failure. It marks movement at one of the most important pressure points in the global plate system.

26 to 29 August: the tectonic ricochet

The events following the Tibet collapse help show why the India Plate is described as the Brake.

Immediate response to the west

On 27 August, earthquakes appeared on the western side of the India Plate near Madagascar and the Indian Ocean ridge system. ZetaTalk explained that these were not the expected eastward domino sequence. They were a continuation of the original India Plate movement.

Because the India Plate is large and curves toward Australia, movement beneath the Himalayas can open space on both sides. A void opens to the west in the Indian Ocean near Madagascar, while pressure is also transferred toward the minor platelets east of India.

Later ricochet to the east

On 29 August, additional activity developed across Indonesia and the surrounding collision zones. This was the later west-to-east movement expected from a Domino or Ricochet event.

The sequence was therefore:

  1. 26 August, India-Tibet border: the Brake moves and the Tibet collapse occurs.
  2. 27 August, Madagascar side: an immediate western adjustment remains part of the India Plate movement.
  3. 29 August, Indonesia: pressure transfers eastward into separate minor plates and collision zones.

This was not one simple bounce. It was a chain reaction in which movement at a major continental brake temporarily allowed other plate boundaries to adjust.

The atmospheric side: record heat, violent storms and opposite extremes

While this tectonic ricochet was developing below, the atmosphere above was also showing increasingly extreme displacement.

The pattern was not simply “everything getting hotter.” Hot air was being trapped or driven into unusual regions, while cooler or moisture-loaded air collided with it elsewhere. This created record temperatures on one side of a boundary and violent storms, flooding or sudden cooling on the other.

Records reported on 1 and 2 September

  • Southern France: 36.6°C at Les Vans, 36.5°C at Fitou and 35.2°C at BĂ©ziers, following earlier September records at Monfort and Trets.
  • Balkans: Overnight minimums of 28.3°C at Dubrovnik and 27.0°C at Podgorica. Croatia, Montenegro and Bosnia recorded their warmest September nights.
  • North Africa: Minimums of 32.4°C at Ouargla, 31.9°C at Touggourt and 31.8°C at El Oued. Records also fell across Tunisia and parts of West Africa.
  • Canadian Arctic: Clyde reached 15.4°C near 70°N, setting a September record.
  • Siberia: Selagoncy reached 27.8°C and broke its September record immediately after breaking an August record.
  • Mongolia: Bayantoorai reached 37.7°C, reported as Mongolia’s highest September temperature.
  • South and Southeast Asia: Record maximums and exceptionally high nighttime minimums spread across India, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines.
  • Central America: Choluteca reached 39.8°C, reported as Honduras’s highest September temperature.
  • South America: Lima recorded a September minimum of 20.4°C while parts of the Amazon approached 40°C.

Weather historian Maximiliano Herrera reported that tens of thousands of records had been broken across more than 220 countries and territories during the opening days of September. The importance lies in the geographical spread. The record pattern extended from Africa across Europe and Asia, into the Americas and high Arctic.

At the same time, the remnants of Tropical Storm Edouard brought an opposite extreme to Texas. Some areas received up to approximately 53 centimetres of rain, accompanied by flash flooding, uprooted trees, widespread power failures and a reported wind gust of 145 km/h.

This is the push-pull pattern expected when the wobble disrupts air and water masses:

Trapped and displaced heat in one region → pressure and moisture concentration elsewhere → abrupt storms, flooding and temperature reversals

Plate activity continuing into 2 September

The plate response also continued. The USGS 24-hour feed generated at approximately 15:24 UTC on 2 September listed 19 earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or greater. The most relevant feature was their clustering along ridges, subduction zones and plate margins.

  • 22:37 to 23:45 UTC, 1 September. Mid-Indian Ridge: M4.6, M4.7 and M4.6 cluster.
  • 00:04 UTC. Papua, Indonesia: M5.6.
  • 05:10 to 05:40 UTC. Aleutian Islands, Alaska: four earthquakes between M4.6 and M5.2.
  • 06:13 and 06:57 UTC. South Island, New Zealand: M5.3 followed by M5.2.
  • 10:54 UTC. South Sandwich Islands: M5.2.
  • 12:28 UTC. Offshore Mexico: M5.6.
  • 12:32 UTC. Aleutian Islands: M5.2.
  • 12:35 UTC. Southern East Pacific Rise: M5.9.

The Mexico, Aleutian and East Pacific Rise earthquakes occurred within approximately eight minutes despite their wide geographical separation. Earlier, three earthquakes had clustered along the Mid-Indian Ridge, followed by activity in Indonesia, New Zealand and the Aleutians.

The developing line can be summarized as:

Mid-Indian Ridge → Indonesia → New Zealand and Aleutians → South Sandwich Islands → Mexico and East Pacific Rise

Mount Sinabung in Indonesia also erupted on 31 August after volcanic seismicity had increased since late July. This adds volcanic pressure release to the continuing Indonesian and western Pacific activity.

The bigger picture

The late-August and early-September events should be viewed as one developing global picture.

Above the surface

  • African heat is driven into the Mediterranean and Europe.
  • Record warmth reaches Siberia, Canada and the Arctic.
  • Warm nights show that heat remains trapped after sunset.
  • Colliding air masses generate tornadoes, hail, extreme lightning and destructive winds.
  • Displaced water and moisture produce exceptional rainfall and flooding elsewhere.

Below the surface

  • The India Plate is pushed beneath the Himalayas.
  • Border trauma destabilizes the Tibet mountain system.
  • Movement opens space west toward Madagascar.
  • Pressure later transfers east through Indonesia.
  • Ridge, subduction-zone and plate-margin activity continues into the Pacific and Americas.

These are two connected expressions of the same intensified daily wobble. The atmosphere responds through pressure, wind, temperature and water. The crust responds through compression, stretching, slipping, sinking, landslides, earthquakes and volcanic activity.

One wobble. Atmospheric disruption above and increasing plate movement below.

What to watch next

The next stage is not to focus on every isolated event. The stronger evidence will come from repeated clusters that reproduce the same relationships:

  • plate movement near the India Plate Brake;
  • activity west near Madagascar and the Indian Ocean ridges;
  • later movement through Indonesia and the western Pacific;
  • Atlantic and Americas activity during the Bounce Back;
  • European heat or storms during the Italy Face and Atlantic transition;
  • same-day overlap between atmospheric extremes and plate releases;
  • events that repeatedly cluster within similar UTC windows.

Event time is more useful than the time a report was posted. When adding observations, use UTC wherever possible and include the original source.

Ongoing update and comment format

This blog can serve as a continuing observation thread. Updates may be added to the main post, while members can place new events and pattern observations in the comments.

Suggested format:

UPDATE: [date and time UTC]
Location:
Atmospheric event: heat, storm, flooding, pressure change or temperature swing
Plate event: earthquake, swarm, landslide, volcanic activity, sinking or infrastructure stress
Wobble phase: Polar Push, India Lean Right, Italy Lean Left or Atlantic/Americas Bounce Back
Possible connection:
Source link:

Keeping observations in this format will make it easier to compare one day with another and determine whether the same combined sequence is intensifying.

Sources

Research, organization and visual presentation prepared with assistance from ChatGPT.

Views: 3393

Comment

You need to be a member of Earth Changes and the Pole Shift to add comments!

Join Earth Changes and the Pole Shift

Comment by Gerard Zwaan 9 hours ago

UPDATE: 18 September 2026, 10:59 UTC

Location

SipĂ­, Colombia; Tsunƍ and the Izu Islands, Japan; Fiji region; southwestern Indonesia; KÄ«lauea and Pāhala, HawaiÊ»i; central and eastern United States.

Atmospheric event

Memphis recorded a maximum of 98°F (36.7°C) and a minimum of 77°F (25.0°C) on September 17. These were respectively 6.7°C and 6.1°C above normal. The maximum remained just below the daily record of 99°F. This extends the record of persistent heat without establishing a new daily maximum record. NWS Memphis observations

NWS continues to forecast heat in the mid-Mississippi Valley. Heavy rainfall and possible flooding are forecast through Sunday across parts of the upper Midwest, central Great Lakes, southern New England and the Virginia/North Carolina tidewater region. These are forecast risks, not confirmed impacts throughout those areas. NWS overview

International heat reports and tropical-cyclone advisories were not refreshed successfully. Atmospheric coverage remains partial.

Plate event

Six reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes extend the chronology:

‱ September 17, 21:10 UTC: Sipí, Colombia, M4.7. Depth 57.8 km.
‱ September 18, 01:07 UTC: Tsunƍ, Japan, M4.6. Depth 53.9 km.
‱ September 18, 02:12 UTC: Izu Islands region, M4.5. Depth 36.3 km.
‱ September 18, 06:17 UTC: Sipí, Colombia, M4.7. Depth 68.4 km.
‱ September 18, 06:42 UTC: Fiji region, M4.7. Depth 548.4 km.
‱ September 18, 07:19 UTC: Izu Islands region, M5.0. Depth 35.3 km.

An earlier addition is the September 17 M4.5 southwest of Labuan, Indonesia, at 19:17 UTC, depth 10 km. It predates the previous update.

Repeated activity near SipĂ­ and Izu makes local sequence activity plausible. These events should not automatically be counted as independent steps in a global response. The deep Fiji earthquake also needs to remain distinct from shallower activity.

At KÄ«lauea, HVO confirms that the six new vents had stagnated. The latest reports describe no active lava flows, while pressure remains high and magma remains near the surface at the established vents. WATCH/ORANGE remains unchanged. Irregular inflation and deflation prevent HVO from assigning a reliable forecast window for the next episode. HVO daily update

A message published September 18 at 06:16 UTC reports that summit deflation had stopped by 19:00 UTC on September 17, leaving the summit tiltmeter flat. HVO attributes an apparent inflation peak at PuÊ»uÊ»ĆÊ»Ć to heavy rainfall, not magma movement.

An M4.1 earthquake south of Pāhala at 06:36 UTC on September 18, approximately 12 km deep, had no apparent impact on Kīlauea or Mauna Loa. Episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed in the reports checked. HVO observatory messages

Wobble phase

No precise push, lean or bounce-back phase is assigned. The available atmospheric observations do not provide sufficient geographic and timing coverage to resolve a global phase.

The rainfall-affected PuÊ»uÊ»ĆÊ»Ć reading is a specific example of why an instrument change must be checked before interpreting it as ground deformation.

ZetaTalk connection

Within the ongoing ZetaTalk “8 of 10” comparison, continuity remains the working assessment. The latest interval adds regional recurrence and deep seismic activity, but does not establish sustained acceleration or a complete India Plate Brake/Ricochet sequence.

The proposed Continental Drift transition assessment remains unchanged. Local recurrence, deep earthquakes, volcanic pressure changes and weather observations remain separate parts of the comparison. Their coexistence alone does not establish a common cause.

Source links

USGS SipĂ­, September 17
USGS Tsunƍ M4.6
USGS Izu M4.5
USGS SipĂ­, September 18
USGS Fiji M4.7
USGS Izu M5.0
USGS earlier Labuan M4.5
HVO observatory messages
HVO KÄ«lauea update
NWS Memphis observations
NWS weather overview
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan yesterday

UPDATE: 17 September 2026, 19:44 UTC

Location

Kamchatka, Russia; the Aleutian Islands, Alaska; northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge; Kīlauea, Hawaiʻi; central United States.

Atmospheric event

The U.S. weather picture continues to feature heat and humidity from northeast Texas into the mid-Mississippi Valley. NWS also forecasts heavy rainfall with possible flooding across parts of the central Plains, upper Midwest/Great Lakes and Four Corners through Saturday.

These remain forecast risks. They do not establish newly observed impacts across all these regions. International heat reports and tropical-cyclone advisories could not be refreshed reliably, so atmospheric coverage remains partial. NWS overview

Plate event

Three reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes extend the morning chronology:

‱ 13:30:49 UTC: M4.7, 107 km southeast of Vilyuchinsk, Kamchatka. Depth 57.4 km.
‱ 14:19:53 UTC: M6.5, 165 km west of Nikolski, Alaska. Depth 111.7 km.
‱ 19:19:06 UTC: M4.9, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge. Depth 10 km.

The Aleutian earthquake is the strongest event in this update. Its intermediate depth is important for interpretation. USGS lists a moment-tensor product, but its solution was not retrieved, so no specific fault mechanism is assigned here. USGS Aleutian earthquake

NOAA’s retrieved information statement showed no tsunami warning, advisory, watch or threat. That statement used an earlier M6.3 estimate for the same earthquake; the reviewed USGS magnitude is M6.5. NOAA tsunami information

Kīlauea also has a meaningful change. HVO’s 11:12 UTC message reports that summit tremor and tilt began decreasing around 03:00 UTC, and the new vents stagnated around 06:30 UTC. Strong glow and flames continued at the established north, south and west vents. No anomalous activity or seismicity was detected elsewhere.

This later report updates the earlier account of vent 6 opening. The six newly documented vents should not all be described as continuing to feed active lava flows. HVO observatory messages

WATCH/ORANGE remains the latest retrieved alert status. Episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed in the reports checked. KÄ«lauea update

Wobble phase

No precise push, lean or bounce-back phase is assigned. The earthquake chronology and available weather information do not resolve a global wobble phase or demonstrate stress transfer between distant regions.

ZetaTalk connection

Within the ongoing ZetaTalk “8 of 10” comparison, the multi-day continuity assessment remains in place. Today’s chronology now includes Kamchatka, the Aleutians and the northern Atlantic alongside the morning’s Indonesian, southwestern Pacific and South Atlantic activity.

The M6.5 adds a stronger individual earthquake. It does not, by itself, establish sustained acceleration or an ordered India Plate Brake/Ricochet response. This check provides insufficient evidence to strengthen the proposed Continental Drift transition assessment.

Kīlauea’s reduced tremor and stagnation of the new vents belong in the same record. The comparison needs to retain both increases and decreases in activity, with observations kept distinct from the proposed connections between them.

Source links

USGS Kamchatka M4.7
USGS Aleutians M6.5
USGS northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M4.9
NOAA tsunami information
HVO observatory messages
HVO KÄ«lauea update
NWS weather overview
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan yesterday

UPDATE: 17 September 2026, 10:34 UTC

Location

Indonesia, Guatemala, Tonga, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna, the South Atlantic, Papua New Guinea, Colombia and Hawaiʻi; atmospheric coverage from the United States.

Atmospheric event

Persistent heat remains documented at Memphis. On September 16, the maximum reached 98°F (36.7°C), while the minimum was 78°F (25.6°C). Both were 12°F (6.7°C) above their respective daily normals. The maximum did not break the daily record. These are September 16 observations, not new measurements from this morning. NWS Memphis climate report

NWS continues to forecast heat and humidity from northeast Texas into the mid-Mississippi Valley. Heavy rainfall could produce flooding across parts of the central Plains, upper Midwest and Great Lakes, and Four Corners states through Saturday. These are forecast risks, not confirmed impacts at every location. NWS national overview

Broader international heat reports and tropical-cyclone advisories could not be refreshed in this check, so the atmospheric coverage remains partial.

Plate event

The combined September 17 chronology contains seven reviewed M4.5+ events:

‱ 04:06 UTC: Tonga M5.3, depth 10 km.
‱ 05:24 UTC: Guatemala M4.6, depth 65.7 km.
‱ 06:20 UTC: east of Bitung, Indonesia, M5.2, depth 10 km.
‱ 06:32 UTC: Vanuatu M4.8, depth 36.7 km.
‱ 06:42 UTC: Wallis and Futuna M5.3, depth 10 km.
‱ 06:48 UTC: South Atlantic M5.0, depth 10 km.
‱ 08:28 UTC: northwest of Maumere, Indonesia, M4.5, depth 10 km.

Guatemala and Maumere are newly added to this account but occurred earlier this morning. The retrieved catalogue contains no later M4.5+ origin time.

The September 16 Madang M4.6 and SipĂ­ M4.7 additions remain in the chronology.

USGS earthquake map and event list

For plate interpretation, geographic recurrence should be distinguished from a demonstrated transfer of stress. This scan does not establish fault mechanisms or a causal sequence connecting these distant events. A listed depth of 10 km alone cannot establish the type of fault movement.

At Kīlauea, HVO’s latest retrieved short message documents vent 6 north of vent 5. It became visible shortly before 04:00 UTC on September 17. A small summit tilt drop began around 03:00 UTC; HVO says this may correlate with the vent opening. This development was already included in the earlier morning update. HVO observatory messages

The preceding daily bulletin described five new vents, small lava flows, stalled inflation and increased tremor. The later short message brings the documented vent count to six. WATCH/ORANGE remains the latest retrieved alert status, and episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed in these reports. HVO KÄ«lauea update

Wobble phase

No precise push, lean or bounce-back phase is assigned. Establishing such a phase would require independent, time-resolved observations. Earthquake timing, one station’s temperature report and forecast rainfall areas do not establish a global wobble phase.

ZetaTalk connection

Within the ZetaTalk “8 of 10” comparison, recurring regional activity remains relevant to the continuity discussion. ZetaTalk describes movement alternating between areas, but that interpretation should remain distinct from the measured earthquake catalogue. ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

The additional entries improve the chronology without establishing acceleration, a new direct India Plate Brake event or an ordered Ricochet response. No stronger conclusion about the proposed Continental Drift transition is warranted from this check.

KÄ«lauea provides a documented local volcanic development. Its coexistence with distant earthquakes and atmospheric anomalies does not establish a shared cause.

Source links

USGS earthquake catalogue
HVO observatory messages
HVO KÄ«lauea update
NWS Memphis climate report
NWS national overview
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan yesterday

UPDATE: 16 September 2026, 21:22 UTC

Location

Vanuatu; eastern Philippines; Ethiopia; Japan; Northern Mariana Islands; Kermadec Islands; Colombia; Papua New Guinea; Kīlauea, Hawaiʻi; Dukono and Semeru, Indonesia; south-central United States and surrounding regions.

Atmospheric event

The National Weather Service describes continued heat and humidity across the Southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley, with daily temperature records potentially challenged.

Separately, repeated thunderstorms bring flash-flood potential across the Four Corners region and from the mid-Mississippi Valley into the lower Great Lakes. These are forecast conditions, not newly verified temperature records or rainfall totals.

The earlier Memphis record remains part of the chronology. Current specialist heat posts and NHC bulletins could not be retrieved in this check. Worldwide atmospheric coverage remains partial.

Plate event

The latest reviewed earthquake entries include the following events on September 16. All times are UTC:

‱ 08:37:00: M5.1 ESE of Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands. Depth 10 km.
‱ 09:41:47: M4.7 near Port-Olry, Vanuatu. Depth 60.7 km.
‱ 11:50:12: M4.9 east of Kinablangan, Philippines. Depth 10 km.
‱ 12:33:23: M4.5 near Awash, Ethiopia. Depth 10 km.
‱ 15:07:38: M5.0 near Mitsukaidƍ, Japan. Depth 77.3 km.
‱ 18:06:40: M5.1 SSW of San Jose Village, Northern Mariana Islands. Depth 110.8 km.
‱ 20:03:35: M4.9 in the Kermadec Islands. Depth 35 km.
‱ 20:12:52: M5.0 WSW of Sipí, Colombia. Depth 59 km.
‱ 20:21:24: M4.9 ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea. Depth 10 km.

Awash adds activity in the Ethiopian rift region following the previously recorded Gulf of Aden earthquake. This expands the regional record, but does not establish that movement transferred between the two locations.

The Philippines, Japan, Marianas, Vanuatu, Kermadec and New Britain events extend the Pacific comparison across several tectonic settings. Locations and depths alone do not establish individual rupture directions or a single connected progression.

The new SipĂ­ earthquake occurs near earlier activity in the same area. Local recurrence is plausible and should be distinguished from activity on a newly involved distant margin. The two Mariana events differ substantially in location and depth, so they should not automatically be treated as a straightforward aftershock pair.

Kīlauea provides the clearest new volcanic information. HVO’s 20:16 UTC bulletin documents five new vents since September 14 local time, with three feeding active lava flows at the time of reporting.

Vent 5 opened at 06:58 UTC on September 16. Vent 2 reactivated at 10:30 UTC, producing a small dome fountain and lava flow.

Summit tremor nearly doubled over 24 hours. Inflation remained essentially stalled, although summit pressure remained high. HVO says the tremor increase cannot be directly correlated with individual surface changes. Episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed, and WATCH/ORANGE is unchanged.

Darwin VAAC also documents continuing Indonesian ash activity: Dukono ash was last observed at 14:20 UTC to FL070, and Semeru ash was last reported at 15:18 UTC to FL150. Subsequent advisories use estimates where weather clouds obscure satellite identification. These are continuing emissions, not necessarily new eruption onsets.

Wobble phase

No precise wobble phase is assigned.

The atmospheric information retrieved does not provide a coordinated, time-resolved comparison of temperature, pressure and wind changes across regions. Earthquake timing alone cannot supply that missing evidence.

The phase assessment remains incomplete. This is a limitation of the available comparison, rather than a completed assessment finding no pattern.

ZetaTalk connection

Within the India Plate Brake/Ricochet framework, Ethiopia adds a western regional observation, while the Philippines and southwestern Pacific add eastern observations. ZetaTalk’s explanation distinguishes initial adjustments around India from a later directional sequence.

The latest events extend the multi-day record, particularly around the Pacific. They do not identify a new India–Tibet initiating event or establish that the African and Pacific earthquakes form one connected Ricochet response.

Within the “8 of 10” comparison, continuity remains relevant. Continuity, geographic spread and acceleration must nevertheless be assessed separately. The observations do not establish accelerating whole-plate displacement or justify upgrading the proposed Continental Drift transition assessment.

Seismic continuity is retained. The ordered Ricochet comparison remains unresolved, wobble-phase assessment incomplete, and transition assessment unchanged.

Source links

USGS earthquake feed
USGS Ethiopia M4.5
USGS Philippines M4.9
USGS Northern Mariana Islands M5.1
USGS SipĂ­ M5.0
HVO KÄ«lauea update
Darwin VAAC advisories
National Weather Service
ZetaTalk: India Plate Brake and Ricochet
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan on Wednesday

UPDATE: 16 September 2026, 08:46 UTC

Continuation from 15 September 2026, 21:01:32 UTC. Earthquake coverage ends at the retrieved USGS feed timestamp of 08:46:32 UTC.

Location

Eastern Gulf of Aden; Ecuador; Venezuela; Guatemala; China; Colombia; Kīlauea, Hawaiʻi; Memphis, Tennessee. Earlier catalogue entries also concern Bengkulu, Indonesia, and Yonakuni, Japan.

Atmospheric event

A newly published National Weather Service report confirms a daily temperature record in Memphis for September 15:

‱ Maximum: 99°F / 37.2°C, exceeding the previous September 15 record of 98°F.
‱ Minimum: 77°F / 25°C, approximately 6.1°C above normal.

The report was issued at 06:46 UTC on September 16. The measurements themselves precede the starting cutoff. This is newly published confirmation of earlier heat, not a new overnight temperature event.

The previously reported heat observations from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Sudan, Colombia and Peru remain part of the wider chronology. They are not counted again as new observations here.

Worldwide atmospheric coverage remains incomplete for this interval. That limits the wobble-phase comparison.

Plate event

Seven reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes occurred after the 21:01:32 UTC cutoff:

‱ September 15, 23:45:06 UTC: M4.5 near Palora, Ecuador. Depth 155.8 km.
‱ September 15, 23:46:59 UTC: M4.7 north of Caluula, Somalia, in the eastern Gulf of Aden. Depth 10 km.
‱ September 16, 01:37:17 UTC: M4.5 near Duaca, Venezuela. Depth 10 km.
‱ September 16, 03:45:03 UTC: M5.0 offshore Ocós, Guatemala. Depth 10 km.
‱ September 16, 05:52:03 UTC: M5.0 SSE of Dunhuang, China. Depth 10.5 km.
‱ September 16, 06:18:06 UTC: M4.6 near Sipí, Colombia. Depth 71 km.
‱ September 16, 07:02:13 UTC: M4.8 offshore Bahía Solano, Colombia. Depth 10 km.

The Gulf of Aden event brings activity into the Arabia–Somalia spreading and transform system, one of the western watch areas. Its location alone does not identify whether this particular rupture involved opening or sideways movement.

Guatemala adds activity along the Pacific margin of Central America. Ecuador’s intermediate-depth event and the Colombian earthquakes involve different depths and locations. They should not be combined into a single shallow displacement or assumed to form one aftershock sequence.

The China event adds another geographically separate location. It cannot automatically be classified as a fresh release at the India–Himalaya “brake.”

Two earlier events are kept separate from the seven-event count: M4.5 southwest of Bengkulu at 16:12:49 UTC on September 15, and M4.7 northeast of Yonakuni at 21:00:35 UTC. Both precede the cutoff. Previously recorded Ruteng and Banda–Timor activity also remains background continuity, rather than a new response to the later Gulf of Aden event.

At Kīlauea, HVO’s 00:11 UTC report adds a fuller assessment of sustained summit pressure and new vents feeding lava flows. Those vents began erupting before the starting cutoff, around 07:00 UTC on September 15.

No new high-fountaining episode was reported. HVO describes several possible developments, including continued flows, renewed fountaining or additional vents. WATCH/ORANGE remains unchanged. This is a local volcanic development; a connection to the distant earthquakes has not been established.

Wobble phase

No precise wobble phase is assigned. The assessment is incomplete because coordinated, time-resolved atmospheric observations were not assembled for this interval.

Memphis’s daily maximum and minimum establish heat, but do not identify a progression of temperature, wind and pressure changes across distant regions. Earthquake timing and weather-report publication times cannot substitute for that comparison.

ZetaTalk connection

ZetaTalk’s August explanation describes the India Plate as the “brake,” with adjustments westward toward Madagascar and eastward among Indonesia’s smaller plates following India–Tibet movement. It distinguishes those initial adjustments from a later west-to-east progression.

The Gulf of Aden earthquake is relevant to the western watch area. However, it does not alone establish the Madagascar component, a new India Plate Brake release or a complete ordered Ricochet response.

Compared with the preceding short interval, this continuation includes more geographically separated earthquake locations. Within the ZetaTalk “8 of 10” comparison, the multi-day continuity assessment remains active. Geographic spread alone does not establish accelerating plate displacement or strengthen confidence in the proposed Continental Drift transition.

KÄ«lauea and the Memphis heat record add observations to the wider comparison. Their coexistence with the earthquakes does not establish a shared cause.

Continuation state: seismic continuity retained; Gulf of Aden activity included; Ricochet comparison open; wobble-phase assessment incomplete; transition assessment unchanged.

Source links

USGS earthquake feed
USGS Gulf of Aden M4.7
USGS Guatemala M5.0
USGS China M5.0
USGS Ecuador M4.5
USGS Venezuela M4.5
USGS SipĂ­ M4.6
USGS BahĂ­a Solano M4.8
HVO KÄ«lauea update
NWS Memphis climate report
ZetaTalk: India Plate Brake and Ricochet
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan on Tuesday

UPDATE: 15 September 2026, 21:01 UTC

Location

Kīlauea, Hawaiʻi; northwestern Argentina; Ruteng, Indonesia; Banda–Timor; Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Sudan, Colombia and Peru.

Atmospheric event

New heat reports extend the picture across the Red Sea region and South America.

Extreme Temperatures Around the World reports:

‱ Red Sea Airport, Saudi Arabia: 49.0°C.
‱ Aswan, Egypt: 48.0°C.
‱ Abu Simbel, Egypt: 45.5°C.
‱ Sudan: 48°C, station unspecified.

The source describes Aswan’s value as Egypt’s highest September temperature. These measurements and record rankings were not independently verified in this scan. The same report mentions minima above 35°C without sufficient station detail to assign them confidently.

Additional reports concern earlier observations. Natagaima, Colombia, reportedly reached 43.0°C on September 14, while Ábrego recorded 33.8°C, described as a September record. Rica Playa, Peru, reportedly recorded a minimum of 26.2°C, described as the country’s highest September minimum. The Peru report refers to recent days without resolving the exact observation date in its text.

These are newly published reports, not necessarily new measurements since the previous cutoff.

Pacific tropical activity continues to ease. At 21:00 UTC, Fifteen-E had weakened to 30 mph, with pressure rising to 1006 mb. Dissipation within about a day was forecast. Norbert remains a remnant low.

Plate event

One new reviewed M4.5+ earthquake occurred after the 17:18 UTC cutoff:

15 September, 17:41:25.765 UTC
M4.5, 49 km southwest of CachĂ­, Argentina
Depth: 185.6 km

Its location and intermediate depth are consistent with activity in the subducting Nazca slab beneath northwestern Argentina. No focal mechanism was retrieved. Although approximately 78 km from the September 13 Cafayate-area M4.7, the large depth difference means it should not be treated as a straightforward aftershock.

A smaller event continues the Indonesian chronology:

15 September, 18:26:33.369 UTC
M4.3, 45 km north of Ruteng, Indonesia
Depth: 10 km
Status: reviewed

This occurred approximately 8 km from the September 13 Ruteng M5.1, at the same listed depth. Continued local sequence activity is plausible.

The overlap check also identified an earlier reviewed M4.5 east of Lospalos, Timor-Leste, at 14:16:11 UTC today, depth 10 km. It predates the previous cutoff and is not a second new M4.5+ event in this interval. It adds shallow activity to the wider Banda–Timor sequence.

The strongest new volcanic information comes from Kīlauea. HVO’s 20:48 UTC bulletin reports that new vents near the northwest wall of Halemaʻumaʻu began erupting shortly before 07:00 UTC today and continued feeding a small lava flow.

This activity began before the previous cutoff and is newly documented here. No fountaining accompanied the new vents. Summit inflation stalled shortly after they opened, while spattering continued at the established vents. WATCH/ORANGE remains unchanged, and episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed.

Wobble phase

No precise wobble phase is assigned. Earthquake timing alone does not establish transfer between distant regions, and heat-report publication times cannot be used as station observation times.

ZetaTalk connection

The multi-day record continues to show recurring activity across several plate systems. This interval adds an intermediate-depth Argentine release and probable local recurrence near Ruteng. The earlier Lospalos addition strengthens the Banda–Timor chronology.

Within the ZetaTalk “8 of 10” comparison, continuity remains relevant. This short interval does not strengthen the evidence for geographic broadening or acceleration. Confidence in the proposed Continental Drift transition is unchanged, and no new direct India Plate Brake or ordered Ricochet response is established.

The atmospheric picture includes further reports of intense heat, while Pacific tropical systems weaken. KÄ«lauea adds a distinct local volcanic development. These observations belong in the wider comparison without treating their coexistence as proof of a shared cause.

Source links

HVO KÄ«lauea update
HVO observatory messages
USGS Argentina M4.5
USGS Ruteng M4.3
USGS earlier Lospalos M4.5
Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Sudan heat report
Colombia heat report
Peru nighttime-heat report
Fifteen-E advisory
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan on Tuesday

UPDATE: 15 September 2026, 17:18 UTC

Location

Banda region, Indonesia; south of Bougainville, Papua New Guinea; smaller activity in North America and Alaska. Atmospheric reports cover the Pacific, Mexico, Central America, the Guianas and Southeast Asia.

Atmospheric event

Norbert is now a confirmed post-tropical remnant low. At 15:00 UTC, its sustained winds were 35 mph and central pressure was 1007 mb. The final public advisory was issued, with no coastal watches or warnings.

Fifteen-E remained a tropical depression at 35 mph and 1005 mb. Its latest advisory forecasts little change in strength. The earlier possibility of strengthening into a named storm has not materialized in the retrieved observations.

Further unusually warm nights were reported across several regions:

‱ Mexico: Salina Cruz 30.0°C, Arriaga 29.5°C and Coatzacoalcos 27.0°C.
‱ Guyana: Lethem 26.9°C.
‱ French Guiana: Cayenne and Saint-Laurent 25.3°C, Saint-Georges 25.0°C and Maripasoula 24.7°C.
‱ Costa Rica: Limón 25.0°C.
‱ Malaysia: Kuantan 27.4°C.

These were reported as September high-minimum records by Extreme Temperatures Around the World. Exact station observation times and record rankings were not independently verified in this scan.

Poso, Indonesia, was also reported at 36.0°C. This repeats a previously reported value and should not be described as a newly higher maximum.

Regional easing remains part of the picture. The New York-area forecast continues to describe drier, cooler conditions and no hazardous weather through Thursday.

Plate event

Two new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes occurred after the 05:58 UTC cutoff:

15 September, 06:07:52.712 UTC
M4.8, 289 km WSW of Tual, Indonesia
Depth: 83.8 km

15 September, 11:34:58.788 UTC
M4.7, 120 km south of Panguna, Papua New Guinea
Depth: 10 km

No moment tensor or focal mechanism was retrieved for either earthquake.

The Tual-area event continues intermediate-depth activity within the wider Banda system. It occurred approximately 171 km from the September 11 Banda–Timor M5.9. This supports regional recurrence, but does not establish a direct aftershock relationship.

The Panguna-area event occurred approximately 311 km from the September 14 Gizo M5.2. It adds shallow activity south of Bougainville to the continuing southwest Pacific sequence. It remains distinct from the deeper Lae earthquake in the previous update.

Smaller events included M3.81 southwest of Ucluelet, Canada, M4.3 near Kaktovik in northern Alaska, M4.0 east of Chignik and M3.6 west-southwest of Adak.

A correction to the earlier chronology is also needed: a reviewed M4.5 northeast of Simao, China, occurred on September 14 at 09:07:29 UTC, at 10 km depth. This was absent from the earlier reports. It predates this interval and is not a third new earthquake.

The worldwide scan found no new M4.5+ events outside Indonesia and the southwest Pacific during this interval. The preceding Mexican, Colombian, Japanese and southwest Pacific events remain part of the multi-day record.

Volcanic activity continues at Ibu, Dukono and Semeru, with retrieved ash heights of approximately 2.4, 2.1 and 4.6 km above sea level respectively. These heights do not establish a new escalation. Great Sitkin continues slow lava effusion, while Kīlauea’s episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed in the retrieved updates.

Wobble phase

The two new earthquakes were separated by 5 hours 27 minutes 6 seconds. This describes their timing, not a demonstrated transfer between systems.

No precise wobble phase is assigned. Temperature-report publication times cannot substitute for station observation times.

ZetaTalk connection

The multi-day sequence continues through repeated regional activity and several active plate systems. The latest interval adds Banda and Bougainville-area recurrence, but is quieter and more geographically concentrated than the preceding interval.

This remains relevant to ZetaTalk’s conditional “8 of 10” discussion of significant movement continuing rather than repeatedly stopping. The observations support continued seismic activity, while uninterrupted fault slip and changing continental velocity remain separate questions.

The continuity assessment stays active. Confidence in the proposed Continental Drift transition is unchanged. No new direct India Plate Brake or ordered Ricochet response is established in this interval.

The atmospheric picture is also mixed: additional hot-night reports across several regions, alongside Norbert’s decay and northeastern US cooling. Both persistence and easing belong in the assessment.

Source links

USGS Tual M4.8
USGS Panguna M4.7
USGS earlier Simao M4.5
Final Norbert advisory
Fifteen-E advisory
Americas nighttime-heat report
Southeast Asia heat report
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
HVO KÄ«lauea update
Alaska volcano update
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan on Tuesday

UPDATE: 15 September 2026, 05:58 UTC

Location

Offshore Mexico, Colombia, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, the Loyalty Islands region and Indonesia; the eastern Pacific, India and the United States.

Atmospheric event

Norbert has weakened into a tropical depression. At 03:00 UTC on September 15, its sustained winds were 35 mph, with pressure at 1006 mb. This compares with 40 mph and 1005 mb in the previous update. Further weakening into a remnant low remained a forecast.

Tropical Depression Fifteen-E also remained at 35 mph, with pressure at 1005 mb. It was still poorly organized and had not reached tropical-storm strength in the latest retrieved bulletin. Neither system had coastal watches or warnings.

A new specialist report listed September maximum-temperature records in India: Bengaluru Airport 34.2°C, Bengaluru 33.1°C, Karwar 34.8°C and Anantapur 38.7°C. These remain attributed reports, with exact observation times and record rankings not independently verified.

An official preliminary Memphis summary for September 14 reported a maximum of 97°F / 36.1°C and a minimum of 78°F / 25.6°C. The minimum was 11°F / 6.1°C above normal. This documents the preceding day rather than a new September 15 nighttime observation.

Regional easing also matters. The New York-area weather discussion describes dry conditions and overnight cooling following the earlier flood-producing weather.

Plate event

Six new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes occurred after the September 14, 20:23 UTC cutoff:

14 September, 20:38:59.760 UTC
M5.3 off MichoacĂĄn, Mexico
Depth: 10 km

14 September, 21:13:16.066 UTC
M4.9 WSW of SipĂ­, Colombia
Depth: 48.1 km

14 September, 22:06:53.342 UTC
M5.0 NW of Lae, Papua New Guinea
Depth: 119.8 km

14 September, 22:39:03.763 UTC
M4.6 SW of SipĂ­, Colombia
Depth: 67.1 km

14 September, 22:44:47.191 UTC
M4.9 SSW of Patea, New Zealand
Depth: 97.6 km

15 September, 04:52:26.905 UTC
M4.8 east of Tadine, New Caledonia
Depth: 98.7 km

No moment-tensor products were retrieved for these six events. Their precise faulting mechanisms therefore remain unresolved in this update.

The offshore Mexico earthquake brings the Mexican Pacific sector back into the latest sequence. Its location label alone does not establish a coastal subduction-thrust mechanism.

In Colombia, the 21:13 M4.9 occurred approximately 16.5 km from the previously reported 20:02 M4.9, after 1 hour 11 minutes 12 seconds. The subsequent M4.6 was approximately 9.6 km from the 21:13 earthquake. These events support continuing local activity around SipĂ­ rather than separate steps in a global relay.

Two additional Colombian events were identified before the previous cutoff: M4.5 at 14:57 UTC and M4.6 at 20:08 UTC on September 14. These complete the earlier chronology and are not included in the six new earthquakes.

Papua New Guinea, New Zealand and the Loyalty Islands region all registered intermediate-depth events. The Tadine-area earthquake was approximately 149 km from the September 13 Loyalty Islands M5.0, at a similar depth. This supports broader regional recurrence without establishing a direct aftershock relationship.

A smaller M4.4 southwest of Pelabuhanratu occurred at 23:09 UTC, approximately 64 km from the earlier shallow M5.5. Both were listed at 10 km depth, making local or regional adjustment plausible.

The global scan found no new M4.5+ earthquakes in the North American, Alaska–Japan, India–Himalayan, Indian Ocean/African, Atlantic–Mediterranean or southern polar sectors during this interval.

Volcanic activity continues without a newly verified broad escalation. Kīlauea’s latest retrieved daily bulletin still describes stalled inflation and reduced spattering, with episode 55 high fountaining unconfirmed. Great Sitkin continues slow lava effusion, while Shishaldin remains at low-level unrest.

Wobble phase

The earthquakes span several regions and successive daily rotations, but no precise wobble phase is assigned. Their timing alone does not demonstrate transfer between distant systems. Temperature-report publication times also cannot substitute for station observation times.

ZetaTalk connection

The emphasis has shifted from the previous interval’s Indonesian activity toward Mexico, Colombia and the southwest Pacific. The multi-day record continues to show repeated regional activity, further M5-class releases and several active plate systems.

This remains relevant to ZetaTalk’s conditional “8 of 10” description:

“Significant plate movement in one area does not start and stop, but just keeps going.”

Colombia illustrates local persistence. The separate Mexican and southwest Pacific events add geographic breadth. These are different kinds of evidence and should not all be counted as independent links in one mechanical chain.

The continuity assessment remains active. Confidence in the proposed Continental Drift transition is unchanged. No new direct India Plate Brake or ordered Ricochet response is established in this interval.

The atmospheric comparison also remains mixed: heat continues in several regions, while Norbert weakens and the northeastern United States cools. Both persistence and easing belong in the developing picture.

Source links

USGS earthquakes during this interval
Earlier Colombian M4.5
Earlier Colombian M4.6
Pelabuhanratu M4.4
Norbert advisory
Fifteen-E advisory
India heat report
NWS Memphis climate summary
NWS New York discussion
HVO KÄ«lauea update
Alaska volcano bulletin
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan on Monday

UPDATE: 14 September 2026, 20:23 UTC

Location

Indonesia, Japan, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Peru and Colombia; the eastern Pacific, India, Southeast Asia, North America and the Mediterranean.

Atmospheric event

The atmospheric picture remains mixed. Further reports of exceptionally warm nights appeared while Norbert weakened.

At 15:00 UTC, Norbert had sustained winds of 40 mph and a pressure of 1005 mb, compared with 45 mph and 1002 mb at 03:00 UTC. Tropical Depression Fifteen-E remained at 35 mph and 1006 mb. Forecast strengthening into a tropical storm had not yet occurred in that bulletin.

New specialist reports included minimum temperatures of:

‱ Jaisalmer, India: 30.6°C.
‱ Kudat, Malaysia: 27.7°C.
‱ Pontianak, Indonesia: 26.0°C.
‱ Puerto Peñasco, Mexico: 30.8°C.
‱ Loreto, Mexico: 30.0°C.

Brownsville, Texas, reportedly recorded a minimum of 85°F / 29.4°C on September 13, tying its highest minimum temperature. McAllen reportedly reached a minimum of 84°F / 28.9°C.

Daytime heat reports included 40.9°C in Portugal and the Canary Islands, 40.0°C in Spain and 37.6°C at Villevieille, France.

These temperature figures are attributed to Extreme Temperatures Around the World. Record rankings and exact station observation times were not independently verified in this scan.

Plate event

Eight new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes occurred after the 06:26 UTC cutoff. All times below are UTC on September 14:

07:33:04. M4.5 east of Tomioka, Japan. Depth 35 km.
09:27:39. M5.5 SSW of Pelabuhanratu, Indonesia. Depth 10 km.
10:58:03. M5.6 NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia. Depth 162.2 km.
10:59:55. M4.6 east of Minami-Sƍma, Japan. Depth 51.3 km.
16:15:06. M5.2 SE of Gizo, Solomon Islands. Depth 10 km.
17:55:15. M4.6 SSE of Labuha, Indonesia. Depth 10 km.
19:16:50. M4.8 WSW of Alianza Cristiana, Peru. Depth 106.2 km.
20:02:04. M4.9 SSW of SipĂ­, Colombia. Depth 59.8 km.

The Pelabuhanratu earthquake was approximately 411 km from the September 11 deep Java Sea earthquake. Their markedly different depths do not support treating them as a straightforward local aftershock pair.

Tobelo’s published moment tensor indicates predominantly reverse faulting. Its intermediate depth points to compression within the subduction system. The later shallow Labuha event represents a different depth setting.

The Gizo earthquake adds the Solomon Islands to the continuing southwest Pacific activity. Colombia’s earthquake occurred approximately 12 km from the September 12 Sipí-area event, making continued local sequence activity plausible.

A smaller M4.2 east of Fiji, approximately 596 km deep, also remains relevant to the wider Pacific picture.

No new M4.5+ events appeared in the interval in Central America/Caribbean, North America, India/Himalayas, the Indian Ocean/African sector, Atlantic/Mediterranean or southern polar sectors. Earlier activity in these regions remains part of the multi-day record.

Volcanic activity also requires differentiation. Semeru ash was observed at 18:10 UTC reaching approximately 4.6 km above sea level. At KÄ«lauea, HVO reported stalled inflation and reduced spattering. Episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed and further delayed.

Wobble phase

The geographic spread and timing do not establish one precise wobble phase or a direct transfer between these earthquakes. Social-media publication times cannot substitute for temperature observation times.

ZetaTalk connection

The wider sequence continues across multiple systems: shallow and intermediate-depth Indonesian releases, Japanese margin activity, southwest Pacific earthquakes and renewed South American activity.

This remains relevant to ZetaTalk’s conditional “8 of 10” description:

“Significant plate movement in one area does not start and stop, but just keeps going.”

Repeated regional activity and further M5-class releases support continued seismic activity across successive days. Some events may belong to local sequences, particularly Colombia. They should not all be counted as independent steps in a global relay.

The Continental Drift interpretation remains under consideration, without an upgrade from this interval alone. Likewise, the Indonesian events do not by themselves establish a specific India Plate Brake or Ricochet response.

The two-layer comparison remains active: earthquakes across several systems alongside persistent heat in several regions. Norbert’s weakening and Kīlauea’s delayed fountaining also belong in that picture.

Source links

USGS earthquake catalogue for this interval
USGS Tobelo earthquake
Norbert advisory
Fifteen-E advisory
India nighttime heat
Southeast Asia nighttime heat
North America nighttime heat
Mediterranean heat
HVO KÄ«lauea update
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10

Comment by Gerard Zwaan on Monday

UPDATE: 14 September 2026, 06:26 UTC

Period covered: 13 September, 21:51 UTC to 14 September, 06:26 UTC.

Location

Flores and southern Java, Indonesia; Taiwan; the northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge; Fiji; Argentina; and the eastern Pacific.

Atmospheric event

Tropical Depression Fifteen-E is an addition to this tracking update. At 03:00 UTC, NHC reported sustained winds of 35 mph, central pressure of 1,006 mb and a position southwest of Baja California at 17.0°N, 118.3°W.

NHC forecast possible tropical-storm development, but this strengthening was not yet observed in the retrieved advisory. Its formation time was not established in this scan, so it should not automatically be counted as forming after the previous cutoff.

Norbert remained at 45 mph and 1,002 mb at 03:00 UTC, unchanged from 21:00 UTC. Two tropical systems are therefore being tracked in the eastern Pacific, without evidence of rapid intensification in these advisories.

Updated reporting of Sunday’s northeastern US flooding describes rainfall reaching seven inches, approximately 178 mm, in some Connecticut communities. This refines the earlier rainfall picture rather than representing a new overnight storm.

No additional station-specific heat or nighttime-minimum reports appeared in the specialist feed checked. The earlier reports remain part of the multi-day record.

Plate event

Five new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes were recorded:

13 September, 22:40:01 UTC
M5.1, 50 km north of Ruteng, Indonesia
Depth: 10 km

13 September, 22:44:41 UTC
M4.6, 120 km northeast of Hengchun, Taiwan
Depth: 10 km

14 September, 00:53:47 UTC
M4.6, 55 km NNW of Ruteng, Indonesia
Depth: 10 km

14 September, 01:42:08 UTC
M4.8, 119 km south of Dampit, Indonesia
Depth: 33.4 km

14 September, 02:56:17 UTC
M5.4, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Depth: 10 km

The Ruteng pair provides the clearest local continuation. The earthquakes were approximately 8.6 km apart, separated by 2 hours 13 minutes 46 seconds. Their proximity and matching catalogued depths make the smaller event a plausible local aftershock.

The M5.1 also occurred approximately 34.5 km from the 12 September M4.6 north-northeast of Ruteng. This strengthens the finding of repeated activity around northern Flores.

The Dampit earthquake adds another release south of Java. Its 33.4 km depth distinguishes it from the earlier Java Sea M6.5 at 372 km. These are separate events in different depth settings.

The northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M5.4 is the largest new event in this interval and adds an Atlantic boundary to the overnight picture. No moment-tensor solutions were returned for any of the five earthquakes. The ridge event therefore cannot yet be assigned specifically to extension or an associated transform fault, and it does not measure a change in spreading speed.

Smaller reviewed activity included M4.4 south of Fiji at 438.2 km depth and M4.4 in northwestern Argentina at 189 km depth.

All ten global sectors were checked. Indonesia is active again, while the India–Himalaya, Madagascar–Indian Ocean and Aden–Red Sea corridors added no new M4.5+ events.

Volcanic emissions also continue. Ibu had an ash observation at 03:40 UTC reaching FL080, approximately 2.4 km above sea level. Dukono had an observation at 04:10 UTC reaching FL070, approximately 2.1 km. These match the previously reported heights.

Kīlauea’s latest retrieved bulletin remains the 13 September report of 104 cumulative precursory overflows, continued inflation and reduced overflow frequency. No newer confirmation of episode 55’s main fountaining onset was found.

Wobble phase

Precise wobble phases remain unassigned because independent contemporaneous markers are missing. The known earthquake times alone cannot establish those phases.

ZetaTalk connection

For the “8 of 10” and tectonic Continental Drift tracking, the strongest additions are repeated activity around Flores and a release on the Mid-Atlantic Ridge.

The rolling sequence now includes successive activity around Japan, Vanuatu, Indonesia, South America and the Atlantic. This strengthens the record of regional recurrence and activity across multiple boundaries.

The Ruteng pair probably includes a local aftershock, so it should not be counted as two independent plate-transfer events. Likewise, a ridge earthquake does not by itself establish faster Atlantic separation.

Indonesian recurrence is relevant to the eastern side of the India Plate Brake framework, but the missing western-corridor connection remains unresolved. No direct Ricochet chain is established.

The broader sequence continues, with greater geographic spread in this interval. The proposed transition toward tectonic Continental Drift remains a working interpretation, without a new displacement measurement establishing that transition.

Source links

Ruteng M5.1
Taiwan M4.6
Ruteng M4.6
South of Java M4.8
Mid-Atlantic Ridge M5.4
Fiji M4.4
Argentina M4.4
Fifteen-E advisory
Norbert advisory
Northeastern US flood report
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
KÄ«lauea updates

SEARCH PS Ning or Zetatalk


Search PS Ning or ZetaTalk

Donate

Donate to support Pole Shift ning costs. Thank you!

© 2026   Created by Juan F Martinez.   Powered by

Badges  |  Report an Issue  |  Terms of Service