đ One Wobble, Two Connected Layers: Plate Movement and Global Weather
An ongoing observation thread for ZetaTalk followers
Initial period: 24 August to 2 September 2026
The daily Earth wobble has been underway for a long time. It did not suddenly begin in August 2026. What stands out in this period is the increasingly visible overlap between two expressions of the same intensified wobble:
- Atmospheric disruption above, including displaced air masses, pressure shifts, heat domes, violent thunderstorms, tornadoes, extreme rainfall and rapid temperature reversals.
- Increasing plate movement below, including compression, stretching, earthquakes, landslides, volcanic unrest and movement along plate borders and ocean ridges.
The purpose of this blog is to keep both layers together. Weather events should not be studied separately from plate stress, and plate activity should not be viewed without considering the daily wobble and its effect on the atmosphere.
The daily wobble and the four Earth faces
The âfacesâ identify which broad longitude sector is facing the Sun during each part of the daily Figure-8 wobble. They are not separate forces or separate wobbles. They are successive phases of one daily motion.
Pacific / New Zealand Face. Polar Push
The magnetic North Pole is pushed away. A new daily wobble cycle and renewed global stress begin.
India Face. Lean Right
Compression around the Himalayas and the India Plate âBrakeâ becomes especially relevant.
Italy / Europe Face. Lean Left
The earlier lean reverses. European and Mediterranean circulation and plate loading can change sharply.
Atlantic / Americas Face. Bounce Back
The globe rebounds from the preceding lean, affecting the Atlantic and Americas before the next Polar Push.
Because the atmosphere, oceans and crust respond differently, the wobble does not produce the same effect everywhere at the same moment. One region can experience trapped heat while another receives violent storms or flooding. One plate border can be compressed while a distant ridge or subduction zone releases accumulated stress.
The significant feature is the organized global overlap, not one isolated weather record or earthquake.
24 August: the Pomas tornado during the Atlantic transition
On 24 August, a destructive tornado struck Pomas in southern France at approximately 15:00 to 15:20 UTC. It injured 39 people and damaged about 300 homes. Around 100 homes were reportedly left unsafe or uninhabitable. Winds were estimated above 200 km/h, with later assessments placing the tornado around the EF2 to EF3 range.
The tornado did not form in isolation. Southern France and the western Mediterranean had already experienced repeated heatwaves, drought, very dry ground and exceptionally warm water. The tornado occurred during a larger outbreak involving severe thunderstorms, hail, destructive winds, flooding and tens of thousands of lightning strikes across a corridor extending from Spain and southern France toward Corsica.
Its timing is especially relevant. At approximately 15:20 UTC, Europe was rotating away from the Italy Face Lean Left and into the Atlantic/Americas Bounce Back. This is the part of the daily wobble when the previous lean reverses and Atlantic pressure patterns can shift quickly.
The event therefore fits the following sequence:
European Lean Left â Atlantic transition â collision of warm African and cooler Atlantic air â rotating storms and destructive weather
The tornado was one atmospheric expression of a much wider transition involving trapped heat, sharp pressure changes and rapidly reorganizing air masses.
26 August: the India Plate âBrakeâ and the Tibet mudslide
On 26 August, a catastrophic collapse occurred directly along the Nepal-Tibet border. Glacier ice, rock, mud and water moved down the mountain system, producing a destructive debris flow and flash flooding through the border region.
The seismic signal was initially reported as an earthquake of about magnitude 5.2. Later analysis identified the signal as being produced by the enormous landslide itself. The essential ZetaTalk question is what destabilized the glacier, rock and water at this precise plate boundary.
ZetaTalk identifies movement of the India Plate as the trigger. The India Plate is being pushed beneath the Himalayas and acts as the âBrakeâ within global plate movement. When this brake moves, other plates are temporarily freer to adjust.
The location is central to the interpretation. The collapse occurred directly on the India-Tibet plate border, where compression and plate-border trauma would be expected when India is driven farther beneath the Himalayas. This movement destabilized the mountain mass, releasing rock, ice and accumulated water.
The mudslide should therefore be understood as more than a weather-related glacier failure. It marks movement at one of the most important pressure points in the global plate system.
26 to 29 August: the tectonic ricochet
The events following the Tibet collapse help show why the India Plate is described as the Brake.
Immediate response to the west
On 27 August, earthquakes appeared on the western side of the India Plate near Madagascar and the Indian Ocean ridge system. ZetaTalk explained that these were not the expected eastward domino sequence. They were a continuation of the original India Plate movement.
Because the India Plate is large and curves toward Australia, movement beneath the Himalayas can open space on both sides. A void opens to the west in the Indian Ocean near Madagascar, while pressure is also transferred toward the minor platelets east of India.
Later ricochet to the east
On 29 August, additional activity developed across Indonesia and the surrounding collision zones. This was the later west-to-east movement expected from a Domino or Ricochet event.
The sequence was therefore:
- 26 August, India-Tibet border: the Brake moves and the Tibet collapse occurs.
- 27 August, Madagascar side: an immediate western adjustment remains part of the India Plate movement.
- 29 August, Indonesia: pressure transfers eastward into separate minor plates and collision zones.
This was not one simple bounce. It was a chain reaction in which movement at a major continental brake temporarily allowed other plate boundaries to adjust.
The atmospheric side: record heat, violent storms and opposite extremes
While this tectonic ricochet was developing below, the atmosphere above was also showing increasingly extreme displacement.
The pattern was not simply âeverything getting hotter.â Hot air was being trapped or driven into unusual regions, while cooler or moisture-loaded air collided with it elsewhere. This created record temperatures on one side of a boundary and violent storms, flooding or sudden cooling on the other.
Records reported on 1 and 2 September
- Southern France: 36.6°C at Les Vans, 36.5°C at Fitou and 35.2°C at Béziers, following earlier September records at Monfort and Trets.
- Balkans: Overnight minimums of 28.3°C at Dubrovnik and 27.0°C at Podgorica. Croatia, Montenegro and Bosnia recorded their warmest September nights.
- North Africa: Minimums of 32.4°C at Ouargla, 31.9°C at Touggourt and 31.8°C at El Oued. Records also fell across Tunisia and parts of West Africa.
- Canadian Arctic: Clyde reached 15.4°C near 70°N, setting a September record.
- Siberia: Selagoncy reached 27.8°C and broke its September record immediately after breaking an August record.
- Mongolia: Bayantoorai reached 37.7°C, reported as Mongoliaâs highest September temperature.
- South and Southeast Asia: Record maximums and exceptionally high nighttime minimums spread across India, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines.
- Central America: Choluteca reached 39.8°C, reported as Hondurasâs highest September temperature.
- South America: Lima recorded a September minimum of 20.4°C while parts of the Amazon approached 40°C.
Weather historian Maximiliano Herrera reported that tens of thousands of records had been broken across more than 220 countries and territories during the opening days of September. The importance lies in the geographical spread. The record pattern extended from Africa across Europe and Asia, into the Americas and high Arctic.
At the same time, the remnants of Tropical Storm Edouard brought an opposite extreme to Texas. Some areas received up to approximately 53 centimetres of rain, accompanied by flash flooding, uprooted trees, widespread power failures and a reported wind gust of 145 km/h.
This is the push-pull pattern expected when the wobble disrupts air and water masses:
Trapped and displaced heat in one region â pressure and moisture concentration elsewhere â abrupt storms, flooding and temperature reversals
Plate activity continuing into 2 September
The plate response also continued. The USGS 24-hour feed generated at approximately 15:24 UTC on 2 September listed 19 earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or greater. The most relevant feature was their clustering along ridges, subduction zones and plate margins.
- 22:37 to 23:45 UTC, 1 September. Mid-Indian Ridge: M4.6, M4.7 and M4.6 cluster.
- 00:04 UTC. Papua, Indonesia: M5.6.
- 05:10 to 05:40 UTC. Aleutian Islands, Alaska: four earthquakes between M4.6 and M5.2.
- 06:13 and 06:57 UTC. South Island, New Zealand: M5.3 followed by M5.2.
- 10:54 UTC. South Sandwich Islands: M5.2.
- 12:28 UTC. Offshore Mexico: M5.6.
- 12:32 UTC. Aleutian Islands: M5.2.
- 12:35 UTC. Southern East Pacific Rise: M5.9.
The Mexico, Aleutian and East Pacific Rise earthquakes occurred within approximately eight minutes despite their wide geographical separation. Earlier, three earthquakes had clustered along the Mid-Indian Ridge, followed by activity in Indonesia, New Zealand and the Aleutians.
The developing line can be summarized as:
Mid-Indian Ridge â Indonesia â New Zealand and Aleutians â South Sandwich Islands â Mexico and East Pacific Rise
Mount Sinabung in Indonesia also erupted on 31 August after volcanic seismicity had increased since late July. This adds volcanic pressure release to the continuing Indonesian and western Pacific activity.
The bigger picture
The late-August and early-September events should be viewed as one developing global picture.
Above the surface
- African heat is driven into the Mediterranean and Europe.
- Record warmth reaches Siberia, Canada and the Arctic.
- Warm nights show that heat remains trapped after sunset.
- Colliding air masses generate tornadoes, hail, extreme lightning and destructive winds.
- Displaced water and moisture produce exceptional rainfall and flooding elsewhere.
Below the surface
- The India Plate is pushed beneath the Himalayas.
- Border trauma destabilizes the Tibet mountain system.
- Movement opens space west toward Madagascar.
- Pressure later transfers east through Indonesia.
- Ridge, subduction-zone and plate-margin activity continues into the Pacific and Americas.
These are two connected expressions of the same intensified daily wobble. The atmosphere responds through pressure, wind, temperature and water. The crust responds through compression, stretching, slipping, sinking, landslides, earthquakes and volcanic activity.
One wobble. Atmospheric disruption above and increasing plate movement below.
What to watch next
The next stage is not to focus on every isolated event. The stronger evidence will come from repeated clusters that reproduce the same relationships:
- plate movement near the India Plate Brake;
- activity west near Madagascar and the Indian Ocean ridges;
- later movement through Indonesia and the western Pacific;
- Atlantic and Americas activity during the Bounce Back;
- European heat or storms during the Italy Face and Atlantic transition;
- same-day overlap between atmospheric extremes and plate releases;
- events that repeatedly cluster within similar UTC windows.
Event time is more useful than the time a report was posted. When adding observations, use UTC wherever possible and include the original source.
Ongoing update and comment format
This blog can serve as a continuing observation thread. Updates may be added to the main post, while members can place new events and pattern observations in the comments.
Suggested format:
UPDATE: [date and time UTC]
Location:
Atmospheric event: heat, storm, flooding, pressure change or temperature swing
Plate event: earthquake, swarm, landslide, volcanic activity, sinking or infrastructure stress
Wobble phase: Polar Push, India Lean Right, Italy Lean Left or Atlantic/Americas Bounce Back
Possible connection:
Source link:
Keeping observations in this format will make it easier to compare one day with another and determine whether the same combined sequence is intensifying.
Sources
- ZetaTalk Newsletter, Issue 1031: https://zetatalk.com/newsletr/issu1031.html
- Pole Shift Ning copy of Newsletter 1031: https://poleshift.ning.com/profiles/blogs/zetatalk-newsletter-for-s...
- ZetaTalk daily wobble and four faces: https://www.zetatalk.com/ning/30ju2023.htm
- Pomas tornado report: https://watchers.news/2026/08/25/tornado-in-pomas-injures-39-damage...
- USGS Nepal debris avalanche and flash flood: https://www.usgs.gov/programs/landslide-hazards/science/2026-nepal-...
- USGS M4.5+ rolling earthquake feed: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/feed/v1.0/summary/4.5_day.g...
- Extreme Temperatures Around the World: https://bsky.app/profile/extremetemps.bsky.social
- North African heat update: https://bsky.app/profile/extremetemps.bsky.social/post/3mujxhuutoc27
- Texas flooding report: https://apnews.com/article/aa5eb54efac7113246603f1c40c1a037
- Mount Sinabung report: https://people.com/mount-sinabung-volcano-in-indonesia-erupts-ash-1...
Research, organization and visual presentation prepared with assistance from ChatGPT.
Views: 4878
Comment
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Comment by Gerard Zwaan on September 15, 2026 at 11:24pm
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UPDATE: 15 September 2026, 21:01 UTC
Location
KÄ«lauea, HawaiÊ»i; northwestern Argentina; Ruteng, Indonesia; BandaâTimor; Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Sudan, Colombia and Peru.
Atmospheric event
New heat reports extend the picture across the Red Sea region and South America.
Extreme Temperatures Around the World reports:
⹠Red Sea Airport, Saudi Arabia: 49.0°C.
⹠Aswan, Egypt: 48.0°C.
⹠Abu Simbel, Egypt: 45.5°C.
âą Sudan: 48°C, station unspecified.The source describes Aswanâs value as Egyptâs highest September temperature. These measurements and record rankings were not independently verified in this scan. The same report mentions minima above 35°C without sufficient station detail to assign them confidently.
Additional reports concern earlier observations. Natagaima, Colombia, reportedly reached 43.0°C on September 14, while Ăbrego recorded 33.8°C, described as a September record. Rica Playa, Peru, reportedly recorded a minimum of 26.2°C, described as the countryâs highest September minimum. The Peru report refers to recent days without resolving the exact observation date in its text.
These are newly published reports, not necessarily new measurements since the previous cutoff.
Pacific tropical activity continues to ease. At 21:00 UTC, Fifteen-E had weakened to 30 mph, with pressure rising to 1006 mb. Dissipation within about a day was forecast. Norbert remains a remnant low.
Plate event
One new reviewed M4.5+ earthquake occurred after the 17:18 UTC cutoff:
15 September, 17:41:25.765 UTC
M4.5, 49 km southwest of CachĂ, Argentina
Depth: 185.6 kmIts location and intermediate depth are consistent with activity in the subducting Nazca slab beneath northwestern Argentina. No focal mechanism was retrieved. Although approximately 78 km from the September 13 Cafayate-area M4.7, the large depth difference means it should not be treated as a straightforward aftershock.
A smaller event continues the Indonesian chronology:
15 September, 18:26:33.369 UTC
M4.3, 45 km north of Ruteng, Indonesia
Depth: 10 km
Status: reviewedThis occurred approximately 8 km from the September 13 Ruteng M5.1, at the same listed depth. Continued local sequence activity is plausible.
The overlap check also identified an earlier reviewed M4.5 east of Lospalos, Timor-Leste, at 14:16:11 UTC today, depth 10 km. It predates the previous cutoff and is not a second new M4.5+ event in this interval. It adds shallow activity to the wider BandaâTimor sequence.
The strongest new volcanic information comes from KÄ«lauea. HVOâs 20:48 UTC bulletin reports that new vents near the northwest wall of HalemaÊ»umaÊ»u began erupting shortly before 07:00 UTC today and continued feeding a small lava flow.
This activity began before the previous cutoff and is newly documented here. No fountaining accompanied the new vents. Summit inflation stalled shortly after they opened, while spattering continued at the established vents. WATCH/ORANGE remains unchanged, and episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed.
Wobble phase
No precise wobble phase is assigned. Earthquake timing alone does not establish transfer between distant regions, and heat-report publication times cannot be used as station observation times.
ZetaTalk connection
The multi-day record continues to show recurring activity across several plate systems. This interval adds an intermediate-depth Argentine release and probable local recurrence near Ruteng. The earlier Lospalos addition strengthens the BandaâTimor chronology.
Within the ZetaTalk â8 of 10â comparison, continuity remains relevant. This short interval does not strengthen the evidence for geographic broadening or acceleration. Confidence in the proposed Continental Drift transition is unchanged, and no new direct India Plate Brake or ordered Ricochet response is established.
The atmospheric picture includes further reports of intense heat, while Pacific tropical systems weaken. KÄ«lauea adds a distinct local volcanic development. These observations belong in the wider comparison without treating their coexistence as proof of a shared cause.
Source links
HVO KÄ«lauea update
HVO observatory messages
USGS Argentina M4.5
USGS Ruteng M4.3
USGS earlier Lospalos M4.5
Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Sudan heat report
Colombia heat report
Peru nighttime-heat report
Fifteen-E advisory
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10
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UPDATE: 15 September 2026, 17:18 UTC
Location
Banda region, Indonesia; south of Bougainville, Papua New Guinea; smaller activity in North America and Alaska. Atmospheric reports cover the Pacific, Mexico, Central America, the Guianas and Southeast Asia.
Atmospheric event
Norbert is now a confirmed post-tropical remnant low. At 15:00 UTC, its sustained winds were 35 mph and central pressure was 1007 mb. The final public advisory was issued, with no coastal watches or warnings.
Fifteen-E remained a tropical depression at 35 mph and 1005 mb. Its latest advisory forecasts little change in strength. The earlier possibility of strengthening into a named storm has not materialized in the retrieved observations.
Further unusually warm nights were reported across several regions:
⹠Mexico: Salina Cruz 30.0°C, Arriaga 29.5°C and Coatzacoalcos 27.0°C.
⹠Guyana: Lethem 26.9°C.
⹠French Guiana: Cayenne and Saint-Laurent 25.3°C, Saint-Georges 25.0°C and Maripasoula 24.7°C.
⹠Costa Rica: Limón 25.0°C.
⹠Malaysia: Kuantan 27.4°C.These were reported as September high-minimum records by Extreme Temperatures Around the World. Exact station observation times and record rankings were not independently verified in this scan.
Poso, Indonesia, was also reported at 36.0°C. This repeats a previously reported value and should not be described as a newly higher maximum.
Regional easing remains part of the picture. The New York-area forecast continues to describe drier, cooler conditions and no hazardous weather through Thursday.
Plate event
Two new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes occurred after the 05:58 UTC cutoff:
15 September, 06:07:52.712 UTC
M4.8, 289 km WSW of Tual, Indonesia
Depth: 83.8 km15 September, 11:34:58.788 UTC
M4.7, 120 km south of Panguna, Papua New Guinea
Depth: 10 kmNo moment tensor or focal mechanism was retrieved for either earthquake.
The Tual-area event continues intermediate-depth activity within the wider Banda system. It occurred approximately 171 km from the September 11 BandaâTimor M5.9. This supports regional recurrence, but does not establish a direct aftershock relationship.
The Panguna-area event occurred approximately 311 km from the September 14 Gizo M5.2. It adds shallow activity south of Bougainville to the continuing southwest Pacific sequence. It remains distinct from the deeper Lae earthquake in the previous update.
Smaller events included M3.81 southwest of Ucluelet, Canada, M4.3 near Kaktovik in northern Alaska, M4.0 east of Chignik and M3.6 west-southwest of Adak.
A correction to the earlier chronology is also needed: a reviewed M4.5 northeast of Simao, China, occurred on September 14 at 09:07:29 UTC, at 10 km depth. This was absent from the earlier reports. It predates this interval and is not a third new earthquake.
The worldwide scan found no new M4.5+ events outside Indonesia and the southwest Pacific during this interval. The preceding Mexican, Colombian, Japanese and southwest Pacific events remain part of the multi-day record.
Volcanic activity continues at Ibu, Dukono and Semeru, with retrieved ash heights of approximately 2.4, 2.1 and 4.6 km above sea level respectively. These heights do not establish a new escalation. Great Sitkin continues slow lava effusion, while KÄ«laueaâs episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed in the retrieved updates.
Wobble phase
The two new earthquakes were separated by 5 hours 27 minutes 6 seconds. This describes their timing, not a demonstrated transfer between systems.
No precise wobble phase is assigned. Temperature-report publication times cannot substitute for station observation times.
ZetaTalk connection
The multi-day sequence continues through repeated regional activity and several active plate systems. The latest interval adds Banda and Bougainville-area recurrence, but is quieter and more geographically concentrated than the preceding interval.
This remains relevant to ZetaTalkâs conditional â8 of 10â discussion of significant movement continuing rather than repeatedly stopping. The observations support continued seismic activity, while uninterrupted fault slip and changing continental velocity remain separate questions.
The continuity assessment stays active. Confidence in the proposed Continental Drift transition is unchanged. No new direct India Plate Brake or ordered Ricochet response is established in this interval.
The atmospheric picture is also mixed: additional hot-night reports across several regions, alongside Norbertâs decay and northeastern US cooling. Both persistence and easing belong in the assessment.
Source links
USGS Tual M4.8
USGS Panguna M4.7
USGS earlier Simao M4.5
Final Norbert advisory
Fifteen-E advisory
Americas nighttime-heat report
Southeast Asia heat report
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
HVO KÄ«lauea update
Alaska volcano update
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10
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UPDATE: 15 September 2026, 05:58 UTC
Location
Offshore Mexico, Colombia, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, the Loyalty Islands region and Indonesia; the eastern Pacific, India and the United States.
Atmospheric event
Norbert has weakened into a tropical depression. At 03:00 UTC on September 15, its sustained winds were 35 mph, with pressure at 1006 mb. This compares with 40 mph and 1005 mb in the previous update. Further weakening into a remnant low remained a forecast.
Tropical Depression Fifteen-E also remained at 35 mph, with pressure at 1005 mb. It was still poorly organized and had not reached tropical-storm strength in the latest retrieved bulletin. Neither system had coastal watches or warnings.
A new specialist report listed September maximum-temperature records in India: Bengaluru Airport 34.2°C, Bengaluru 33.1°C, Karwar 34.8°C and Anantapur 38.7°C. These remain attributed reports, with exact observation times and record rankings not independently verified.
An official preliminary Memphis summary for September 14 reported a maximum of 97°F / 36.1°C and a minimum of 78°F / 25.6°C. The minimum was 11°F / 6.1°C above normal. This documents the preceding day rather than a new September 15 nighttime observation.
Regional easing also matters. The New York-area weather discussion describes dry conditions and overnight cooling following the earlier flood-producing weather.
Plate event
Six new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes occurred after the September 14, 20:23 UTC cutoff:
14 September, 20:38:59.760 UTC
M5.3 off MichoacĂĄn, Mexico
Depth: 10 km14 September, 21:13:16.066 UTC
M4.9 WSW of SipĂ, Colombia
Depth: 48.1 km14 September, 22:06:53.342 UTC
M5.0 NW of Lae, Papua New Guinea
Depth: 119.8 km14 September, 22:39:03.763 UTC
M4.6 SW of SipĂ, Colombia
Depth: 67.1 km14 September, 22:44:47.191 UTC
M4.9 SSW of Patea, New Zealand
Depth: 97.6 km15 September, 04:52:26.905 UTC
M4.8 east of Tadine, New Caledonia
Depth: 98.7 kmNo moment-tensor products were retrieved for these six events. Their precise faulting mechanisms therefore remain unresolved in this update.
The offshore Mexico earthquake brings the Mexican Pacific sector back into the latest sequence. Its location label alone does not establish a coastal subduction-thrust mechanism.
In Colombia, the 21:13 M4.9 occurred approximately 16.5 km from the previously reported 20:02 M4.9, after 1 hour 11 minutes 12 seconds. The subsequent M4.6 was approximately 9.6 km from the 21:13 earthquake. These events support continuing local activity around SipĂ rather than separate steps in a global relay.
Two additional Colombian events were identified before the previous cutoff: M4.5 at 14:57 UTC and M4.6 at 20:08 UTC on September 14. These complete the earlier chronology and are not included in the six new earthquakes.
Papua New Guinea, New Zealand and the Loyalty Islands region all registered intermediate-depth events. The Tadine-area earthquake was approximately 149 km from the September 13 Loyalty Islands M5.0, at a similar depth. This supports broader regional recurrence without establishing a direct aftershock relationship.
A smaller M4.4 southwest of Pelabuhanratu occurred at 23:09 UTC, approximately 64 km from the earlier shallow M5.5. Both were listed at 10 km depth, making local or regional adjustment plausible.
The global scan found no new M4.5+ earthquakes in the North American, AlaskaâJapan, IndiaâHimalayan, Indian Ocean/African, AtlanticâMediterranean or southern polar sectors during this interval.
Volcanic activity continues without a newly verified broad escalation. KÄ«laueaâs latest retrieved daily bulletin still describes stalled inflation and reduced spattering, with episode 55 high fountaining unconfirmed. Great Sitkin continues slow lava effusion, while Shishaldin remains at low-level unrest.
Wobble phase
The earthquakes span several regions and successive daily rotations, but no precise wobble phase is assigned. Their timing alone does not demonstrate transfer between distant systems. Temperature-report publication times also cannot substitute for station observation times.
ZetaTalk connection
The emphasis has shifted from the previous intervalâs Indonesian activity toward Mexico, Colombia and the southwest Pacific. The multi-day record continues to show repeated regional activity, further M5-class releases and several active plate systems.
This remains relevant to ZetaTalkâs conditional â8 of 10â description:
âSignificant plate movement in one area does not start and stop, but just keeps going.â
Colombia illustrates local persistence. The separate Mexican and southwest Pacific events add geographic breadth. These are different kinds of evidence and should not all be counted as independent links in one mechanical chain.
The continuity assessment remains active. Confidence in the proposed Continental Drift transition is unchanged. No new direct India Plate Brake or ordered Ricochet response is established in this interval.
The atmospheric comparison also remains mixed: heat continues in several regions, while Norbert weakens and the northeastern United States cools. Both persistence and easing belong in the developing picture.
Source links
USGS earthquakes during this interval
Earlier Colombian M4.5
Earlier Colombian M4.6
Pelabuhanratu M4.4
Norbert advisory
Fifteen-E advisory
India heat report
NWS Memphis climate summary
NWS New York discussion
HVO KÄ«lauea update
Alaska volcano bulletin
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10
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UPDATE: 14 September 2026, 20:23 UTC
Location
Indonesia, Japan, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Peru and Colombia; the eastern Pacific, India, Southeast Asia, North America and the Mediterranean.
Atmospheric event
The atmospheric picture remains mixed. Further reports of exceptionally warm nights appeared while Norbert weakened.
At 15:00 UTC, Norbert had sustained winds of 40 mph and a pressure of 1005 mb, compared with 45 mph and 1002 mb at 03:00 UTC. Tropical Depression Fifteen-E remained at 35 mph and 1006 mb. Forecast strengthening into a tropical storm had not yet occurred in that bulletin.
New specialist reports included minimum temperatures of:
⹠Jaisalmer, India: 30.6°C.
⹠Kudat, Malaysia: 27.7°C.
⹠Pontianak, Indonesia: 26.0°C.
⹠Puerto Peñasco, Mexico: 30.8°C.
⹠Loreto, Mexico: 30.0°C.Brownsville, Texas, reportedly recorded a minimum of 85°F / 29.4°C on September 13, tying its highest minimum temperature. McAllen reportedly reached a minimum of 84°F / 28.9°C.
Daytime heat reports included 40.9°C in Portugal and the Canary Islands, 40.0°C in Spain and 37.6°C at Villevieille, France.
These temperature figures are attributed to Extreme Temperatures Around the World. Record rankings and exact station observation times were not independently verified in this scan.
Plate event
Eight new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes occurred after the 06:26 UTC cutoff. All times below are UTC on September 14:
07:33:04. M4.5 east of Tomioka, Japan. Depth 35 km.
09:27:39. M5.5 SSW of Pelabuhanratu, Indonesia. Depth 10 km.
10:58:03. M5.6 NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia. Depth 162.2 km.
10:59:55. M4.6 east of Minami-SĆma, Japan. Depth 51.3 km.
16:15:06. M5.2 SE of Gizo, Solomon Islands. Depth 10 km.
17:55:15. M4.6 SSE of Labuha, Indonesia. Depth 10 km.
19:16:50. M4.8 WSW of Alianza Cristiana, Peru. Depth 106.2 km.
20:02:04. M4.9 SSW of SipĂ, Colombia. Depth 59.8 km.The Pelabuhanratu earthquake was approximately 411 km from the September 11 deep Java Sea earthquake. Their markedly different depths do not support treating them as a straightforward local aftershock pair.
Tobeloâs published moment tensor indicates predominantly reverse faulting. Its intermediate depth points to compression within the subduction system. The later shallow Labuha event represents a different depth setting.
The Gizo earthquake adds the Solomon Islands to the continuing southwest Pacific activity. Colombiaâs earthquake occurred approximately 12 km from the September 12 SipĂ-area event, making continued local sequence activity plausible.
A smaller M4.2 east of Fiji, approximately 596 km deep, also remains relevant to the wider Pacific picture.
No new M4.5+ events appeared in the interval in Central America/Caribbean, North America, India/Himalayas, the Indian Ocean/African sector, Atlantic/Mediterranean or southern polar sectors. Earlier activity in these regions remains part of the multi-day record.
Volcanic activity also requires differentiation. Semeru ash was observed at 18:10 UTC reaching approximately 4.6 km above sea level. At KÄ«lauea, HVO reported stalled inflation and reduced spattering. Episode 55 high fountaining remains unconfirmed and further delayed.
Wobble phase
The geographic spread and timing do not establish one precise wobble phase or a direct transfer between these earthquakes. Social-media publication times cannot substitute for temperature observation times.
ZetaTalk connection
The wider sequence continues across multiple systems: shallow and intermediate-depth Indonesian releases, Japanese margin activity, southwest Pacific earthquakes and renewed South American activity.
This remains relevant to ZetaTalkâs conditional â8 of 10â description:
âSignificant plate movement in one area does not start and stop, but just keeps going.â
Repeated regional activity and further M5-class releases support continued seismic activity across successive days. Some events may belong to local sequences, particularly Colombia. They should not all be counted as independent steps in a global relay.
The Continental Drift interpretation remains under consideration, without an upgrade from this interval alone. Likewise, the Indonesian events do not by themselves establish a specific India Plate Brake or Ricochet response.
The two-layer comparison remains active: earthquakes across several systems alongside persistent heat in several regions. Norbertâs weakening and KÄ«laueaâs delayed fountaining also belong in that picture.
Source links
USGS earthquake catalogue for this interval
USGS Tobelo earthquake
Norbert advisory
Fifteen-E advisory
India nighttime heat
Southeast Asia nighttime heat
North America nighttime heat
Mediterranean heat
HVO KÄ«lauea update
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10
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UPDATE: 14 September 2026, 06:26 UTC
Period covered: 13 September, 21:51 UTC to 14 September, 06:26 UTC.
Location
Flores and southern Java, Indonesia; Taiwan; the northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge; Fiji; Argentina; and the eastern Pacific.
Atmospheric event
Tropical Depression Fifteen-E is an addition to this tracking update. At 03:00 UTC, NHC reported sustained winds of 35 mph, central pressure of 1,006 mb and a position southwest of Baja California at 17.0°N, 118.3°W.
NHC forecast possible tropical-storm development, but this strengthening was not yet observed in the retrieved advisory. Its formation time was not established in this scan, so it should not automatically be counted as forming after the previous cutoff.
Norbert remained at 45 mph and 1,002 mb at 03:00 UTC, unchanged from 21:00 UTC. Two tropical systems are therefore being tracked in the eastern Pacific, without evidence of rapid intensification in these advisories.
Updated reporting of Sundayâs northeastern US flooding describes rainfall reaching seven inches, approximately 178 mm, in some Connecticut communities. This refines the earlier rainfall picture rather than representing a new overnight storm.
No additional station-specific heat or nighttime-minimum reports appeared in the specialist feed checked. The earlier reports remain part of the multi-day record.
Plate event
Five new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes were recorded:
13 September, 22:40:01 UTC
M5.1, 50 km north of Ruteng, Indonesia
Depth: 10 km13 September, 22:44:41 UTC
M4.6, 120 km northeast of Hengchun, Taiwan
Depth: 10 km14 September, 00:53:47 UTC
M4.6, 55 km NNW of Ruteng, Indonesia
Depth: 10 km14 September, 01:42:08 UTC
M4.8, 119 km south of Dampit, Indonesia
Depth: 33.4 km14 September, 02:56:17 UTC
M5.4, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Depth: 10 kmThe Ruteng pair provides the clearest local continuation. The earthquakes were approximately 8.6 km apart, separated by 2 hours 13 minutes 46 seconds. Their proximity and matching catalogued depths make the smaller event a plausible local aftershock.
The M5.1 also occurred approximately 34.5 km from the 12 September M4.6 north-northeast of Ruteng. This strengthens the finding of repeated activity around northern Flores.
The Dampit earthquake adds another release south of Java. Its 33.4 km depth distinguishes it from the earlier Java Sea M6.5 at 372 km. These are separate events in different depth settings.
The northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M5.4 is the largest new event in this interval and adds an Atlantic boundary to the overnight picture. No moment-tensor solutions were returned for any of the five earthquakes. The ridge event therefore cannot yet be assigned specifically to extension or an associated transform fault, and it does not measure a change in spreading speed.
Smaller reviewed activity included M4.4 south of Fiji at 438.2 km depth and M4.4 in northwestern Argentina at 189 km depth.
All ten global sectors were checked. Indonesia is active again, while the IndiaâHimalaya, MadagascarâIndian Ocean and AdenâRed Sea corridors added no new M4.5+ events.
Volcanic emissions also continue. Ibu had an ash observation at 03:40 UTC reaching FL080, approximately 2.4 km above sea level. Dukono had an observation at 04:10 UTC reaching FL070, approximately 2.1 km. These match the previously reported heights.
KÄ«laueaâs latest retrieved bulletin remains the 13 September report of 104 cumulative precursory overflows, continued inflation and reduced overflow frequency. No newer confirmation of episode 55âs main fountaining onset was found.
Wobble phase
Precise wobble phases remain unassigned because independent contemporaneous markers are missing. The known earthquake times alone cannot establish those phases.
ZetaTalk connection
For the â8 of 10â and tectonic Continental Drift tracking, the strongest additions are repeated activity around Flores and a release on the Mid-Atlantic Ridge.
The rolling sequence now includes successive activity around Japan, Vanuatu, Indonesia, South America and the Atlantic. This strengthens the record of regional recurrence and activity across multiple boundaries.
The Ruteng pair probably includes a local aftershock, so it should not be counted as two independent plate-transfer events. Likewise, a ridge earthquake does not by itself establish faster Atlantic separation.
Indonesian recurrence is relevant to the eastern side of the India Plate Brake framework, but the missing western-corridor connection remains unresolved. No direct Ricochet chain is established.
The broader sequence continues, with greater geographic spread in this interval. The proposed transition toward tectonic Continental Drift remains a working interpretation, without a new displacement measurement establishing that transition.
Source links
Ruteng M5.1
Taiwan M4.6
Ruteng M4.6
South of Java M4.8
Mid-Atlantic Ridge M5.4
Fiji M4.4
Argentina M4.4
Fifteen-E advisory
Norbert advisory
Northeastern US flood report
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
KÄ«lauea updates
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UPDATE: 13 September 2026, 21:51 UTC
Period covered: 16:52â21:51 UTC.
Location
Northwestern Argentina, southern Vanuatu, Hawaiʻi, Morocco, Colombia and the northeastern United States.
Atmospheric event
The scale of todayâs northeastern US flooding is becoming clearer.
Updated Connecticut reporting describes 5â6 inches of rain, approximately 127â152 mm, in some shoreline communities, with reported rainfall rates reaching four inches per hour. These are additional details about todayâs storm, not necessarily rain accumulated since the previous update.
AP reports vehicle and household rescues, disrupted Metro-North and Amtrak services, and closure of Tweed New Haven Airportâs departure terminal. Westport crews conducted 13 vehicle rescues, while Bridgeport responders used boats to evacuate residents.
Moroccan heat continues, with temperatures reportedly reaching 45°C. Sidi Ifni recorded a reported 42.1°C, described as a September record, alongside strong chergui winds toward the coast.
Another report gives Colombian September record claims of 37.4°C at Chima, 29.2°C at Boavita and 24.8°C at Guican. The same source reports frost and snow in parts of Argentina and Chile, including unusual snowfall in San Luis and La Rioja. These observations illustrate strong regional contrasts.
The temperature rankings and snowfall descriptions remain attributed reports. Exact observation times and historical rankings were not independently verified in this scan.
Norbert weakened further. At 21:00 UTC, sustained winds were 45 mph and central pressure 1,002 mb, compared with 50 mph and 1,000 mb at 15:00 UTC.
Plate event
Two new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes ended the earlier quieter interval:
13 September, 19:40:25.248 UTC
M4.7, 60 km west of Cafayate, Argentina
Depth: 10 km13 September, 19:41:43.663 UTC
M4.9, 86 km SSW of Isangel, Vanuatu
Depth: 10 kmThe southern Vanuatu earthquake continues the wider regional sequence. It occurred approximately 573 km from this morningâs Port-Olry M5.2, which was 135.1 km deep, and 345 km from the Loyalty Islands M5.0, which was 98.8 km deep.
The sequence now includes shallow and intermediate-depth releases across the broader AustraliaâPacific boundary region. The separation and depth differences do not justify automatically classifying the new M4.9 as a direct aftershock of either morning event.
Argentinaâs earthquake adds shallow activity in the Andean interior. No mechanism was available to identify its specific fault movement.
The Argentina and Vanuatu origin times were only 78.415 seconds apart, but the events were approximately 12,123 km apart. This is a timing observation, not evidence that one triggered the other. Neither event had a published focal mechanism in the retrieved products.
The global scan found new M4.5+ activity only in South America and the southwest Pacific during this interval. The IndiaâHimalaya, MadagascarâIndian Ocean, AdenâRed Sea and Indonesian watch corridors added no new events at that threshold.
KÄ«laueaâs new 19:15 UTC bulletin also changes the recent volcanic picture. The cumulative count reached 104 precursory overflows, but HVO reports only four in the preceding 24 hours and none since 12 September, 22:00 UTC.
Summit inflation continues, while overflow frequency has fallen. Episode 55âs main fountaining onset remains unconfirmed. HVO says inflation-based forecasting models are no longer valid and gives 13â14 September as a conditional forecast window.
Great Sitkin continues slow lava extrusion. The previously reported Ibu and Dukono ash observations remain carried context.
Wobble phase
No precise wobble phase is assigned. Independent contemporaneous markers remain unavailable, and weather-report publication times cannot establish when the underlying observations occurred.
ZetaTalk connection
For the â8 of 10â and tectonic Continental Drift tracking, the strongest new continuity evidence is another Vanuatu-region release following the morningâs activity. Argentina adds activity in another region after the afternoon lull.
This preserves the multi-day picture of repeated regional releases and several active plate systems. It does not establish uninterrupted significant movement or an intercontinental trigger chain.
The two-layer picture also remains mixed: flood impacts are more extensively documented, while Norbert has weakened and KÄ«laueaâs overflow activity has slowed despite continued inflation.
The wider seismic sequence continues. Specific India Plate Brake and Ricochet connections remain unresolved, and this scan leaves the proposed Continental Drift transition as an unchanged working interpretation.
Source links
Argentina earthquake
Southern Vanuatu earthquake
USGS interval catalogue
KÄ«lauea update
Alaska volcano update
Connecticut rainfall and flooding
AP regional flood impacts
Morocco heat report
South American temperature contrasts
Norbert advisory
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UPDATE: 13 September 2026, 16:52 UTC
Period covered: 10:16â16:52 UTC.
Location
Indonesia, Mexico, Honduras, Costa Rica, India and the northeastern United States, with the earlier JapanâVanuatuâLoyalty Islands earthquake sequence retained as context.
Atmospheric event
Additional reports extend the pattern of unusually warm nights across several regions.
Extreme Temperatures reports these September high-minimum records:
⹠Culiacån, Mexico: 28.9°C.
⹠Choluteca, Honduras: 29.1°C.
⹠Trujillo, Honduras: 28.1°C.
⹠Pavas Airport, Costa Rica: 22.2°C.
âą SantamarĂa Airport, Costa Rica: 22.1°C.The same report lists Las Vegas at 31.7°C on 11 September. This is newly reported historical information, not a temperature observed this afternoon.
Indonesia adds reported minimum temperatures of 27.8°C at Tarempa and 25.8°C at Pontianak, alongside a maximum of 36.0°C at Poso.
An Indian report adds yesterdayâs maximum temperatures of 36.4°C at Punalur, 34.5°C at Thiruvananthapuram and 33.9°C at Bengaluru. Its Bapatla minimum of 29.5°C was already included in our tracking.
These record claims remain attributed to Extreme Temperatures. Exact station-observation times and historical rankings were not independently verified in this scan.
Flooding in the northeastern United States has progressed from forecast risk to observed impacts.
The 16:20 UTC National Weather Service discussion reports residual flooding in parts of New Jersey, with the Saddle River at Lodi rising through minor flood stage. Heavy-rain pockets persisted across southern Connecticut and Long Island. Connecticut reporting also describes flooded roads, highway disruption and stranded vehicles.
NWS identifies a warm front and low-pressure wave drawing on a tropical air mass with precipitable water above two inches. Rain was easing farther west, with improving conditions expected during the afternoon.
Norbert remained at 50 mph and 1,000 mb at 15:00 UTC, unchanged from this morning.
Plate event
No new M4.5+ earthquakes appeared in the global catalogue between 10:16 and 16:52 UTC.
Smaller reviewed activity included an M3.9 offshore central Chile and earthquakes around Puerto Rico and the TexasâNew Mexico border region. No changes were detected among the overlapping M4.5+ catalogue entries compared with this morningâs retrieval.
The earlier Japan M5.1, Bonin M4.9, Vanuatu M5.2, Loyalty Islands M5.0 and Mutsu M4.7 remain the main sequence for today. They are carried context, not additional afternoon events.
All ten global sectors were checked. The IndiaâHimalaya, MadagascarâIndian Ocean, AdenâRed Sea, Indonesia, PhilippineâMolucca and southwest Pacific watch areas added no new M4.5+ events during this interval.
Volcanic emissions continue in Indonesia. Ibuâs 16:00 UTC advisory reports an ash emission observed at 12:50 UTC, with the cloud at FL080, approximately 2.4 km above sea level. Dukonoâs 16:30 UTC advisory reports ash observed at 16:10 UTC, reaching FL070, approximately 2.1 km above sea level.
Neither represents a further reported plume-height increase since the morning update. Krakatauâs terminated advisory remains unchanged.
KÄ«laueaâs latest retrieved bulletin still reports 101 precursory overflows. No newer confirmation of episode 55âs main fountaining onset was found.
Wobble phase
No precise wobble phase is assigned. Independent contemporaneous markers are missing, and heat-report publication times cannot substitute for the times of the underlying temperature observations.
ZetaTalk connection
The wider â8 of 10â and tectonic Continental Drift assessment remains focused on the multi-day sequence: repeated regional activity, significant releases and the involvement of several plate systems.
This afternoon adds a quieter seismic interval. It does not erase the earlier Pacific sequence, but it provides no fresh evidence of significant movement continuing uninterrupted or broadening geographically.
Meanwhile, further warm-night reports extend the atmospheric record, and northeastern US flooding adds concrete impacts. These belong in the two-layer ZetaTalk framework being examined, while their coexistence does not establish a common trigger.
The broader working assessment remains unchanged. Specific India Plate Brake and Ricochet connections remain unresolved, and this interval does not establish a transition toward tectonic Continental Drift.
Source links
USGS earthquake catalogue for this interval
North and Central American nighttime heat
Indonesian heat
Indian heat
NWS New York discussion
Connecticut flooding report
Norbert advisory
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
KÄ«lauea updates
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UPDATE: 13 September 2026, 10:16 UTC
This update covers developments since 12 September, 20:22 UTC.
Location
Japan, Vanuatu, southeast of the Loyalty Islands, the Aleutians, Indonesia, Central America, Mexico and Eurasia.
Atmospheric event
Further extreme heat has been reported across Central America.
Extreme Temperatures reports 42.3°C at Choluteca, Honduras, and 40.3°C at Alcahuapa, El Salvador, describing both as national September records. Additional reports give 42.8°C at Ciudad Victoria, Mexico, and 34.2°C at Chilpancingo, at approximately 1,268 metres elevation.
A separate report describes temperatures reaching 40°C in Kazakhstan and 35°C in Siberia, with further eastward heat forecast into China and Mongolia. Those forecast temperatures are not yet observations.
These remain attributed temperature and record reports. Their exact station-observation times and historical rankings were not independently verified in this scan.
Nighttime warmth remains part of the wider picture. The official Memphis summary for 12 September recorded a minimum of 74°F, or 23.3°C, seven degrees Fahrenheit above normal. Its maximum reached 95°F, or 35°C. The minimum was unchanged from the preceding day.
Norbert weakened overall across this reporting interval. At 09:00 UTC it had sustained winds of 50 mph and central pressure of 1,000 mb, compared with 60 mph and 999 mb in the previous update.
Plate event
Five new reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes were recorded:
âą 12 September, 20:32:58 UTC. M5.1, 101 km south of Yudomari, Japan. Depth: 45.5 km.
âą 13 September, 03:50:32 UTC. M4.9, Bonin Islands region, Japan. Depth: 10 km.
âą 13 September, 07:19:21 UTC. M5.2, 43 km ESE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu. Depth: 135.1 km.
âą 13 September, 07:30:23 UTC. M5.0, southeast of the Loyalty Islands. Depth: 98.8 km.
âą 13 September, 08:31:15 UTC. M4.7, 25 km north of Mutsu, Japan. Depth: 120.4 km.
Vanuatu provides the clearest continuation. Yesterdayâs M4.7 at 188.1 km depth was followed by todayâs M5.2 at 135.1 km depth, approximately 68 km farther south, after 15 hours 23 minutes 13 seconds.
This extends the activity from yesterdayâs shallow Sola earthquake into repeated intermediate-depth releases around Espiritu Santo. A regional sequence relationship is plausible, but the different depths leave a direct-aftershock classification unresolved.
The Loyalty Islands M5.0 followed just 11 minutes 1 second later, approximately 882 km away. Both events occurred within the broader AustraliaâPacific boundary region. The short interval is worth retaining, while timing alone does not establish triggering.
Japanâs events occurred in separate settings. The Yudomari M5.1 has a predominantly reverse/thrust mechanism. No moment tensors were returned for the Bonin, Mutsu, Vanuatu or Loyalty Islands events in this scan.
A smaller M3.9 near Adak at 02:08:42 UTC, depth 38.7 km, occurred close to the 11 September M5.3 location, consistent with continued local Aleutian adjustment.
The earlier Java Sea earthquake remains M6.5 at 372 km depth. That is carried context, not a new event.
The global scan found no new M4.5+ earthquakes in the IndiaâHimalaya, MadagascarâIndian Ocean, AdenâRed Sea, Indonesia, South America, Mediterranean or South Sandwich sectors during this interval. The latest activity is more concentrated around Japan and the southwest Pacific.
Volcanic activity also continues. Ibuâs observed ash reached FL080, approximately 2.4 km above sea level, at 09:40 UTC. This is a modest increase from the previous FL070 report. Dukono produced an observed FL070 plume at 04:10 UTC.
KÄ«laueaâs latest retrieved bulletin still reports 101 precursory overflows. No newer confirmation of episode 55âs main fountaining onset was found. Krakatauâs terminated ash advisory remains unchanged.
Wobble phase
The earthquake times are established, but independent contemporaneous wobble markers are missing. No precise phase is assigned. The publication times of heat reports cannot substitute for station-observation times.
ZetaTalk connection
For tracking ZetaTalkâs â8 of 10â and tectonic Continental Drift, the important development is persistence across successive days, particularly around Vanuatu, alongside additional activity at other Pacific margins.
ZetaTalk describes the possibility that âsignificant plate movement in one area does not start and stop, but just keeps going.â
The current sequence adds repeated regional activity and further M5-class releases. It is geographically more concentrated in this window, rather than showing fresh global broadening.
The India Plate Brake and Ricochet interpretation receives no new direct support from the quiet western watch corridors. That leaves the specific proposed connection unresolved while the wider seismic sequence continues.
The working assessment remains continuity across multiple regions. Whether this represents the proposed transition toward tectonic Continental Drift remains under examination. No new displacement measurements in this scan establish that transition.
Source links
Japan M5.1
Bonin Islands M4.9
Vanuatu M5.2
Loyalty Islands M5.0
Mutsu M4.7
Adak M3.9
Java Sea earthquake
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
KÄ«lauea updates
Central American heat
Mexican heat
Eurasian heat
Memphis climate summary
Norbert advisory
ZetaTalk: 8 of 10
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UPDATE: 12 September 2026, 20:22 UTC
Global activity continues, with five additional reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes since 09:11 UTC, a revision to the deep Java Sea earthquake, increasing precursory activity at KÄ«lauea and further reports of exceptionally warm nights.
Plate events
An important correction to yesterdayâs Java Sea report: USGS now lists the earthquake as M6.5 at 372 km depth, located 126 km NNE of Teluknaga, Indonesia. Its origin time is 11 September, 21:23:55.907 UTC.
This replaces the earlier M6.6 and 358.6 km figures. The newly available moment tensor indicates oblique faulting with a normal component within the deeply descending slab.
Five new reviewed earthquakes were recorded on 12 September:
âą 09:35:46 UTC. M4.9, 147 km WNW of Sola, Vanuatu. Depth 16.9 km.
âą 11:05:46 UTC. M4.9, South Sandwich Islands region. Depth 98.2 km.
âą 11:16:12 UTC. M4.7, 32 km SW of SipĂ, Colombia. Depth 77.3 km.
âą 15:56:09 UTC. M4.7, 46 km NNE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu. Depth 188.1 km.
âą 17:51:45 UTC. M4.8, 17 km WSW of LixoĂșri, Greece. Depth 34.0 km.
Vanuatuâs two events were approximately 179 km apart, separated by 6 hours 20 minutes 22 seconds. Their markedly different depths point to activity in different parts of the subduction system. The deeper event should not automatically be classified as a local aftershock of the shallow earthquake.
Colombia shows a clearer local recurrence. Todayâs M4.7 occurred approximately 2.7 km from yesterdayâs M4.7, after 18 hours 33 minutes 41 seconds. This supports continued activity within the same local sequence.
South Sandwich remains active, while western Greece adds Mediterranean activity to this reporting window. The Greek mechanism indicates oblique normal/strike-slip faulting. No mechanisms were available for the other four new events.
The global scan found no additional M4.5+ origins in the IndiaâHimalaya, Indian OceanâMadagascar, AdenâRed Sea or Indonesia corridors during this interval. Smaller earthquakes continued elsewhere, including Alaska, California and the Caribbean.
Volcanic activity
KÄ«laueaâs 17:37 UTC bulletin reports 101 precursory overflows since 7 September, compared with 69 previously reported. Dome fountains have increased from roughly 5â10 metres to 10â15 metres, while summit inflation continues.
This is a measurable strengthening of local precursory activity. The main episode 55 fountaining onset remains unconfirmed in the checked bulletins.
Ibu produced an observed ash emission at 15:30 UTC, reaching approximately FL070, or 2.1 km above sea level. This represents continuing activity without an increase in reported plume height.
Krakatauâs ash advisory was terminated at 10:40 UTC. Ash was no longer identifiable, and no other reports indicated an ongoing eruption. Great Sitkin continued slow lava extrusion with weak seismicity.
Atmospheric activity
Further September high-minimum records were reported by Extreme Temperatures:
⹠Bapatla, India: 29.5°C.
⹠Jakarta Airport, Indonesia: 26.5°C.
⹠Arriaga, Mexico: 29.9°C.
⹠Hacienda Ylang, Mexico: 27.2°C.A further report gives 45.2°C at Bima, Niger, described as a national September record, and temperatures reaching 44°C in Morocco.
These are attributed station-record reports. Exact observation times and historical rankings were not independently verified in this scan.
Norbert remained at 60 mph and 999 mb at 15:00 UTC, unchanged from 09:00 UTC. Meanwhile, the San Francisco region retained near-seasonal temperatures and an approaching dry front. The atmospheric picture therefore includes both persistent regional heat and areas of cooling.
Wobble phase and ZetaTalk connection
The global perspective remains essential to our tracking of ZetaTalkâs â8 of 10,â plate movements and tectonic Continental Drift. A quiet India corridor does not describe the whole globe.
This interval adds continued activity at Vanuatu, Colombia, South Sandwich and the Mediterranean. Repeated local activity and releases across several regions remain relevant to the continuity assessment.
However, this windowâs largest new earthquakes were M4.9. It does not show increasing earthquake magnitude or establish one connected trigger chain. The India Plate Brake and Ricochet interpretations receive no fresh direct support from the quiet western watch corridors.
Exact wobble phases remain unassigned because contemporaneous markers are missing. Heat-report publication times cannot establish the timing of the underlying observations.
The developing picture remains one of geographically widespread activity, with stronger precursory activity at KÄ«lauea and additional warm-night reports. Whether this marks the proposed transition toward tectonic Continental Drift remains an active question in the tracking, rather than a conclusion established by this interval.
Sources:
Java Sea earthquake
Vanuatu M4.9
South Sandwich
Colombia
Vanuatu M4.7
Greece
KÄ«lauea
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
Alaska volcano updates
India nighttime heat
Indonesia nighttime heat
Mexico nighttime heat
North African heat
Norbert advisory
San Francisco weather discussion
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UPDATE: 12 September 2026, 09:11 UTC
PLATE ACTIVITY BROADENS AGAIN, WITH MORE EXCEPTIONALLY WARM NIGHTS
Location
Indonesia, South Sandwich, Chile, Peru, Panama, Haiti, Guatemala, Mexico, the Caribbean, Thailand and the United States.
This update covers 11 September, 20:55:31 UTC to 12 September, 09:11:17 UTC.
Atmospheric event
New reports extend the exceptionally warm nighttime-temperature pattern to Mexico and the Caribbean.
A specialist report published on 11 September at 22:57:26 UTC identifies September high-minimum records:
⹠Loreto, Mexico: 30.0°C.
⹠Lamentin Airport, Martinique: 27.8°C.
⹠Castries, Saint Lucia: 28.4°C.
⹠V. C. Bird Airport, Antigua and Barbuda: 28.1°C.The Saint Lucia and Antigua and Barbuda values were reported as national September warm-night records. These remain attributed specialist reports. Exact station-observation times were not supplied.
These observations add to the earlier reported 32.0°C minimum in Pakistan and unusually warm nights in India and Indonesia.
Conditions are not moving in the same direction everywhere. The official Memphis summary for 11 September recorded a maximum of 33.9°C, a minimum of 23.3°C and approximately 16.3 mm of rain. Both temperatures were lower than the previous day. The minimum occurred at 04:52 UTC on 12 September.
Norbert also weakened slightly. At 09:00 UTC on 12 September, it had sustained winds of 60 mph and a pressure of 999 mb, compared with 65 mph and 996 mb in the preceding update.
Thailandâs Meteorological Department issued a heavy-rain warning effective at 22:00 UTC on 11 September. A strengthening southwest monsoon, monsoon trough and low near central Vietnam were expected to bring heavy to very heavy rainfall, with potential flash floods and landslides. Development of the Vietnam system into a tropical storm remained a forecast.
Plate event
Nine reviewed M4.5+ earthquakes occurred within the checked window, including the Java Sea M6.6 covered in the earlier addendum.
11 September, 21:23:55.001 UTC
M6.6, NNE of Teluknaga, Java Sea
Depth: 358.6 km11 September, 22:32:23.645 UTC
M4.9, west of Puerto Chacabuco, Chile
Depth: 10 km12 September, 00:18:59.059 UTC
M4.5, WNW of Quicacha, Peru
Depth: 98.8 km12 September, 00:55:08.418 UTC
M5.1, South Sandwich Islands region
Depth: 10 km12 September, 01:59:50.373 UTC
M4.7, NE of Manaca Norte, Panama
Depth: 10 km12 September, 03:34:57.594 UTC
M4.6, NNE of Ruteng, Indonesia
Depth: 10 km12 September, 05:08:24.039 UTC
M4.7, WNW of Ternate, Indonesia
Depth: 44.2 km12 September, 06:14:30.594 UTC
M4.8, WSW of Tual, Indonesia
Depth: 134.4 km12 September, 08:46:38.186 UTC
M4.5, WSW of Santiago, Peru
Depth: 24.1 kmThe Java Sea M6.6 is now confirmed as reviewed. Its position and depth are consistent with a deep release within the subducted slab. No moment-tensor product was returned during this check, so its faulting direction remains unresolved.
South Sandwich reactivated 3 hours, 31 minutes and 13.417 seconds after the Java Sea earthquake. This returns activity to another region already present in the wider sequence. Timing alone does not establish a direct pressure transfer between them.
Indonesia subsequently recorded earthquakes at substantially different depths around Ruteng, Ternate and Tual. These are not a local aftershock group around the Java Sea epicentre.
Ruteng does have a strong local-sequence explanation: its epicentre lies approximately 4.7 km from an earlier M5.3, with the same reported 10 km depth. It should therefore not automatically be classified as a new remote response.
The Panama M4.7 occurred approximately 159 km from the 10 September Costa Rica M5.0, after 41 hours, 32 minutes and 56.545 seconds. This supports continued activity along the wider Central American margin, but does not establish a local aftershock relationship.
No moment-tensor products were returned for the nine events in this check. Smaller reviewed earthquakes also occurred near Haiti and Guatemala.
Volcanic activity
No new confirmation of KÄ«lauea episode 55 high fountaining was obtained. The latest retrieved report still described 69 overflows and renewed inflation. Those observations carry forward from the preceding update.
Krakatauâs 05:00 UTC advisory relied on ash last observed on 11 September at 08:20 UTC. Cloud obscured the latest satellite view, so this was not a newly observed plume escalation.
Ibuâs advisory reported ash last observed at 01:10 UTC on 12 September, approximately 2.1 km above sea level. This documents continuing emissions.
Wobble phase
No precise wobble phase is assigned. The temperature reports lack exact observation times, and earthquake timing alone does not establish the daily wobble phases.
ZetaTalk connection
The overlapping 8 of 10 remains central to the developing pattern.
Previously active regions are releasing again. The deep Java Sea earthquake has been followed chronologically by activity in South America, South Sandwich, Central America and additional Indonesian regions.
The strongest correspondence is continuity across several plate systems through successive days, with renewed geographical breadth in this window.
The individual events still need to be distinguished. Ruteng has a strong local-sequence alternative. The deep Java Sea earthquake, intermediate-depth Indonesian events and shallow releases elsewhere do not all represent the same faulting process.
The India Plate âBrakeâ and Ricochet response remain part of the investigation, but this interval does not establish an ordered pressure-transfer sequence. No new M4.5+ earthquake was found in the Himalayan Brake, Madagascar, Gulf of AdenâRed Sea or VanuatuâTonga watch zones during the window.
Above, further exceptionally warm nights are reported across Mexico and the Caribbean. Below, several previously active plate regions release again.
The sequence is continuing and geographically broader than in the preceding window. This strengthens the continuity aspect of the overlapping 8 of 10 assessment. A transition to globally accelerating continental movement remains unresolved.
Source links
USGS catalogue for the checked window and overlap
Java Sea M6.6
South Sandwich M5.1
Panama M4.7
Mexico and Caribbean nighttime temperatures
Norbert advisory
Thailand rainfall warning
NWS Memphis climate report
HVO KÄ«lauea messages
Darwin volcanic ash advisories
© 2026 Created by Juan F Martinez.
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