Weather:

Weather Wobble

Jet Stream tornados

Siberian Freeze Weather Wobble

Wild weather , [2]

Wobble Clouds

Hurricane development

Violent Push

Weather & ocean currents

Europe Weather

Tides and Whirlpools:

Storm Clash whirlpools

Lurch of earth

Tides , [2]

Whirlpools

Wobble Sloshing

 



"We warned at the start of ZetaTalk, in 1995, that unpredictable weather extremes, switching about from drought to deluge, would occur and increase on a lineal basis up until the pole shift. Where this occurred steadily, it has only recently become undeniable. ZetaTalk, and only ZetaTalk, warned of these weather changes, at that early date. Our early warnings spoke to the issue of global heating from the core outward, hardly Global Warming, a surface or atmospheric issue, but caused by consternation in the core. Affected by the approach of Planet X, which was by then starting to zoom rapidly toward the inner solar system for its periodic passage, the core was churning, melting the permafrost and glaciers and riling up volcanoes. When the passage did not occur as expected in 2003 because Planet X had stalled in the inner solar system, we explained the increasing weather irregularities in the context of the global wobble that had ensued - weather wobbles where the Earth is suddenly forced under air masses, churning them. This evolved by 2005 into a looping jet stream, loops breaking away and turning like a tornado to affect the air masses underneath. Meanwhile, on Planet Earth, droughts had become more intractable and deluges positively frightening, temperature swings bringing snow in summer in the tropics and searing heat in Artic regions, with the violence of storms increasing in number and ferocity."

ZETATALK

 

From the ZetaTalk Chat Q&A for February 4, 2012:

 

The wobble seems to have changed, as the temperature in Europe suddenly plunged after being like an early Spring, Alaska has its coldest temps ever while the US and much of Canada is having an extremely mild winter. India went from fatal cold spell to balmy again. Has the Earth changed position vs a vs Planet X to cause this? [and from another] Bitter cold records broken in Alaska - all time coldest record nearly broken, but Murphy's Law intervenes [Jan 30] http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/01/30/bitter-cold-records-broken-in-alaska Jim River, AK closed in on the all time record coldest temperature of -80°F set in 1971, which is not only the Alaska all-time record, but the record for the entire United States. Unfortunately, it seems the battery died in the weather station just at the critical moment. While the continental USA has a mild winter and has set a number of high temperature records in the last week and pundits ponder whether they will be blaming the dreaded "global warming" for those temperatures, Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week.

There has been no change in the wobble pattern, the wobble has merely become more severe. Nancy noted a Figure 8 format when the Earth wobble first became noticeable, in early 2005, after Planet X moved into the inner solar system at the end of 2003. The Figure 8 shifted along to the east a bit on the globe between 2005 and 2009, (the last time Nancy took its measure) as Planet X came closer to the Earth, encountering the magnetic N Pole with a violent push earlier in the day. But the pattern of the Figure 8 remained essentially the same. So what changed recently that the weather patterns became noticeably different in late January, 2012?

The N Pole is pushed away when it comes over the horizon, when the noon Sun is centered over the Pacific. This regularly puts Alaska under colder air, with less sunlight, and thus the historically low temps there this January, 2012 as the wobble has gotten stronger. But by the time the Sun is positioned over India, the N Pole has swung during the Figure 8 so the globe tilts, and this tilt is visible in the weather maps from Asia. The tilt has forced the globe under the hot air closer to the Equator, warming the land along a discernable tilt demarcation line.

The next loop of the Figure 8 swings the globe so that the N Pole moves in the other direction, putting the globe again at a tilt but this time in the other direction. This tilt is discernable in weather maps of Europe, again along a diagonal line. Depending upon air pressure and temperature differences, the weather on either side of this diagonal line may be suddenly warm or suddenly cold. The tilt and diagonal line lingers to affect much of the US and Canada, but the Figure 8 changes at this point to be an up and down motion, pulling the geographic N Pole south so the US is experiencing a warmer than expected winter under a stronger Sun. Then the cycle repeats, with the magnetic N Pole of Earth pushed violently away again as the Sun is positioned over the Pacific.

 

From the ZetaTalk Chat Q&A for April 6, 2013:

 

Would the Zetas be able to let us know what is causing the early break-up of the Arctic Ice, the ice seems to have taken on a swirling pattern at the same time, would this be wobble related? [and from another] http://www.vancouversun.com/news/national/Canada+Arctic+cracks+spec... The ice in Canada’s western Arctic ripped open in a massive “fracturing event” this spring that spread like a wave across 1,000 kilometres of the Beaufort Sea. Huge leads of water – some more than 500 kilometres long and as much as 70 kilometres across – opened up from Alaska to Canada’s Arctic islands as the massive ice sheet cracked as it was pushed around by strong winds and currents. It took just seven days for the fractures to progress across the entire area from west to east. [and from another] http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=80752&src=iot... A high-pressure weather system was parked over the region, producing warmer temperatures and winds that flowed in a southwesterly direction. That fueled the Beaufort Gyre, a wind-driven ocean current that flows clockwise. The gyre was the key force pulling pieces of ice west past Point Barrow, the northern nub of Alaska that protrudes into the Beaufort Sea.


The Figure 8 formed by the N Pole during the daily Earth wobble has shifted somewhat to the East, due to Planet X positioned more to the right of the Earth during its approach. This was anticipated, and well described in ZetaTalk, the Earth crowding to the left in the cup to escape the approach of Planet X, so the angle between these two planets would change slightly. This shift of the Figure 8 to the East is due to the push against the Earth’s magnetic N Pole occurring sooner each day than prior. Thus instead of occurring when the Sun is high over the Pacific, over New Zealand, it is now occurring when the Sun is high over Alaska. All the wobble points have shifted eastward accordingly.

This has brought a lingering Winter to the western US, and a changed sloshing pattern to the Arctic waters. Instead of Pacific waters being pushed through the Bering Straits into the Arctic when the polar push occurs, the wobble is swinging the Arctic to the right, and then later to the left, creating a circular motion in the waters trapped in the Arctic. Since the Earth rotates counterclockwise, the motion also takes this path. This is yet another piece of evidence that the establishment is hard pressed to explain. They are attempting to ascribe this to high pressure and wind, all of which are not new to the Arctic, but this circular early breakup of ice in the Arctic is new.

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Comment by KM on July 23, 2016 at 3:03am

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3704157/Mysterious-green-fo...

Who you gonna call? Mysterious green slime bubbles up from sewers in Utah town

  • The foam was spotted by residents on Thursday in Bluffdale 
  • Early reports indicated the foam was caused by same algae in Utah Lake
  • The foam came from the Welby Jacob Canal, which is connected to the Jordan River - which is Utah Lake's only river outlet 
  • But health officials believe foam may have been caused by chemicals used for a moss removal process in the canal  
  • Those exposed to lake's bloom had symptoms of vomiting, diarrhea, fever

A mysterious green foam has left neighbors of one Utah neighborhood more than a little concerned after it was spotted bubbling from a storm drain on Thursday. 

The Salt Lake County Health Department immediately sent both its emergency response team as well as scientists to test the bright green foam after it was reported in the Bluffdale neighborhood.  

Early reports indicated that the foam was caused by a toxic algae bloom that currently covers 90 percent of Utah Lake - and has already caused more than 100 people to fall ill.

Scroll down for video 

The Salt Lake County Health Department immediately sent its emergency response team to Bluffdale, Utah after residents spotted this mysterious green foam bubbling from a storm drain in the neighborhood 

The Salt Lake County Health Department immediately sent its emergency response team to Bluffdale, Utah after residents spotted this mysterious green foam bubbling from a storm drain in the neighborhood 

The foam was sourced to the nearby Welby Jacob Canal, which feeds water to local farms. The canal is connected to the Jordan River, which is connected to Utah Lake

The foam was sourced to the nearby Welby Jacob Canal, which feeds water to local farms. The canal is connected to the Jordan River, which is connected to Utah Lake

The foam was sourced to the nearby Welby Jacob Canal, which feeds water to local farms. The canal is connected to the Jordan River, which is connected to Utah Lake. 

'It's certainly possible that the water in the Welby Canal here does have some of that particular harmful algae that produces toxins in it,' department official Nicholas Rupp told Fox 13 Now.

But Rupp said the foam is more likely the result of a recent moss removal process the canal underwent earlier this month. 

'The chemicals that they use for the moss prevention process foams and causes a foaming action,' Rupp said. 

But just because the toxic algae didn't cause the green foam doesn't necessarily mean it isn't present in the canal. 

Rupp said the department tested water in the canal just to make sure. Results are expected in the next few days, according to KUTV

The foam began to recede after the irrigation line to the canal was shut off, Bluffdale city engineer Michael Fazio told KSL

Comment by KM on July 20, 2016 at 2:21pm

http://strangesounds.org/2016/07/earthquake-releases-high-levels-of...

Earthquake releases high levels of methane in the atmosphere near Greenland

A M4.7 earthquake hit the Arctic Ocean, east of Greenland, on July 12, 2016.

High levels of methane were measured in the atmosphere on July 15, 2016, just where the earthquake hit indicating that the quake destabilized methane hydrates contained in sediments in that area.

earthquake releases methane arctic ocean, earthquake releases methane arctic ocean greenland, earthquake arctic ocean releases methane gas, methane gas ejected after earthquake arctic oceanvia Arctic-News

On July 15th, measurements show methane levels as high as 2505 ppb and 2598 ppb at an altitude of 4,116m (13,504ft) and 6,041m (19,820ft), respectively.

All this indicates that the earthquake did cause destabilization of methane hydrates contained in sediments in that area.

earthquake releases methane arctic ocean, earthquake releases methane arctic ocean greenland, earthquake arctic ocean releases methane gas, methane gas ejected after earthquake arctic oceanvia Arctic-News

This video shows a massive burst of methane from the Sleeping Dragon seep. The explosive burst was strong enough to eject rocks up on to the front deck of the ROV Hercules back in 2015.

As temperatures keep rising, some 1.6°C or 2.88°F warming due to albedo changes and some 1.1°C or 2°F temperature rise of the world’s oceans seems well possible by the year 2026 due to methane releases from clathrates at the seafloor.

The situation is dire and calls for comprehensive and effective action.

Comment by lonne de vries on July 17, 2016 at 12:49pm

Summer Interrupted in Italy, Switzerland as Snow Whitens the Alps

https://weather.com/news/weather/news/snow-summer-alps-cold

It's unusual for snow to fall at lower elevations in July across this area.

Winter interrupting summer has become a common theme this July.

Earlier this week, snow fell across parts of the northern Rockies in the U.S., and now, parts of Europe are experiencing a taste of winter. Cold temperatures have taken hold across the Alps, and snow was reported – even at lower elevations than normal for this time of year.

From T-Shirts to Coats and Jackets

The July heat was short-lived.  Temperatures plunged and by late Wednesday, snow began to fall in the higher elevations of the Alps. The snow continued to fall through Thursday.

Comment by jorge namour on July 15, 2016 at 5:03pm

APOCALYPSE OF ICE ON BERLIN AND 'THE HELL! - GERMANY

JULY 14, 2016

http://terrarealtime.blogspot.com.ar/2016/07/apocalisse-di-ghiaccio...
VIDEO

https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=it&tl=en&js=y&...

The scenario is always the same, almost standardizzato.Su Berlin has struck a violent and sudden hail storm and pioggia. The streets turned into rivers.

Comment by KM on July 13, 2016 at 3:30am

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/state-of-emergency-arbor...

Saskatchewan town of Arborfield evacuated due to flooding

A structure holding back water has broken south of the community, which has a population of 400

Residents in Arborfield, Sask., hurry to fill sandbags shortly after an evacuation order was given to the town Tuesday afternoon.

Residents in Arborfield, Sask., hurry to fill sandbags shortly after an evacuation order was given to the town Tuesday afternoon. (Devin Heroux/CBC)

Homes in Arborfield, Sask., are being evacuated after a structure holding water back south of town broke apart.

The province said a "hold back road" has given way and water is flowing towards the west side of the town, located about 260 kilometres northeast of Saskatoon.

The breach is about 30 metres wide and it usually holds back about a kilometre-and-a-half of water. The province said water flowing into town from the breach is expected to hit as early as this evening. 

Arborfield mandatory evacuation

People leaving Arborfield, Sask., after mandatory evacuation ordered for approximately 400 residents. (Devin Heroux/CBC)

The town issued the evacuation order and door-to-door notification has begun. 

Approximately 400 people who live in Arborfield are being told to head to the town office where officials can tell them where they can stay. Town officials said there is room for people to stay in nearby communities like Zenon Park.

Coun. Joanne Rusk told CBC News there's still full access in and out of Arborfield, and officials plan to stay at the town office until they are told they have to leave. 


State of emergency declared

The towns of Arborfield and Carrot River, Sask., and the rural municipality of Arborfield have declared states of emergency after heavy rainfall caused flooding in both communities.

In two hours, 10 centimetres — or four inches — of rain fell in Carrot River. 

As the declarations were made, it was still raining in both northeastern communities, and the situation is getting worse, according to Carrot River Mayor Bob Gagne.

Fifty basements have flooded so far and that number is expected to rise as rain continues to fall and drainage systems struggle to keep up.

Water rises in Arborfield, Saskatchewan

Water rises in Arborfield as residents leave town. (Devin Heroux/CBC)

A state of emergency was declared in Estevan, Sask., on Sunday evening after the southeastern city received 130 millimetres of rain. There are more heavy rainfall warnings again today, ranging from the southwest to the northeast.

Arborfield, Saskatchewan flooding

Sandbags and a berm attempt to hold back water from rushing towards Arborfield, Sask. (Devin Heroux/CBC)

Sandbagging and heavy machinery are currently being used to repair breaches in berms near Arborfield. 

The town has evacuated its Special Care Lodge and sent residents to be with family or stay at other facilities in the Kelsey Trail Health Region.

There were 36 seniors removed from the long-term facility on Monday as a precaution. Sandbags placed around the lodge meant that water never entered the facility. 

The water near the facility is receding, according to the province, and if rain subsides, residents could be back by the end of the week. 

Highway 23 at Arborfield is closed due to flooding. 

Arborfield is approximately 260 kilometres northeast of Saskatoon. Carrot River is about 25 kilometres north of Arborfield. 

Flooding - State of Emergency - Rain Fall - Severe Weather

Comment by KM on July 11, 2016 at 9:53pm

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/stormy-day-looms-fo...

Major flooding triggers Prairie town emergency, Estevan, Saskatchewan.

Monday, July 11, 2016, 12:10 PM - After a weekend that brought widespread severe weather to the Prairies, the threat for torrential rain, strong wind gusts, moderate hail and an isolated tornado extends into the start of this work week.

State of emergency

The City of Estevan, Saskatchewan declared a state of emergency Sunday night after training thunderstorms brought upwards of 120 mm of rain in less than three hours.

"The sheer abundance of water resulted in hundreds of flooded basements, dozens of businesses being affected and severe damage to many roads and infrastructure around the city," the city said in a statement early Monday.

According to EMO coordinator Helen Fornwald, flash flooding conditions exist over the areas of 4th Avenue South, Woodlawn Avenue South, Humane Society Road, and Spruce Drive north of Henry Street.

"It is extremely important for the public to stay away from these areas for your safety," Fornwald says.


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Comment by KM on July 10, 2016 at 4:19pm

http://strangesounds.org/2016/07/typhoon-nepartak-made-landfall-on-...

Super Typhoon Nepartak hits east China’s Fujian Province on July 9, 2016

Super Typhoon Nepartak made landfall on Saturday afternoon in east China’s Fujian Province, bringing with it gales and downpours.

The first typhoon of the season landed at 1:45 p.m. in Shishi City, packing winds of up to about 100 km per hour.

nepartak china, nepartak destroys china, nepartak china pictures, nepartak china video, nepartak landfall china, effects nepartak china, consequences nepartak china pictures and video

Two people died and 17 are still missing after Typhoon Nepartak and devastated the Chinese province of Fujian.

nepartak china, nepartak destroys china, nepartak china pictures, nepartak china video, nepartak landfall china, effects nepartak china, consequences nepartak china pictures and video

A red rainstorm alert has been issued in Putian City, which experienced more than 250 millimeters of precipitation in four hours early this morning.

nepartak china, nepartak destroys china, nepartak china pictures, nepartak china video, nepartak landfall china, effects nepartak china, consequences nepartak china pictures and video

More than 428,000 residents have been evacuated. The storm destroyed more than 1,000 houses. 

nepartak china, nepartak destroys china, nepartak china pictures, nepartak china video, nepartak landfall china, effects nepartak china, consequences nepartak china pictures and video

Nearly 49,000 hectares of crops were damaged by the typhoon, including 4,500 hectares totally destroyed. Nearly 400 flights and at least 300 high-speed trains canceled. Road traffic has been disrupted.

nepartak china, nepartak destroys china, nepartak china pictures, nepartak china video, nepartak landfall china, effects nepartak china, consequences nepartak china pictures and video

and here a impressive video of the damages from Nepartak in China:

Typhoon Nepartak made first landfall early on Friday in eastern Taiwan, packing winds of up to 190 km per hour gusting up to 234 km per hour.

Comment by Gerard Zwaan on July 10, 2016 at 10:31am

500,000 evacuated as deadly Typhoon Nepartak makes landfall in China

 

Photo www.nytimes.com

  • Winds reported at 200km per hour as Typhoon crossed Taiwan strait.
  • Waves reprted at 30ft high
  • Biblical amounts of rainfall
  • 3 dead many missing (last week 180 people died from seperate floods in China)

Hundreds of thousands of people were evacuated along the east of China after tropical storm Nepartak made landfall on Saturday.
Typhoon Nepartak has left 3 dead and many people missing, damaged more than a  1,000 houses and disrupted traffic after making landfall Saturday afternoon in east China's Fujian Province.
According to local weather bureau, the first typhoon of the season landed at 1:45 p.m. in Shishi City, packing winds of up to 100 km per hour.


Photo www.scmp.com
A total of 428,800 people in six cities, including the provincial capital of Fuzhou, have been relocated, said the local flood control authorities.
From 8 a.m. Friday to 5 p.m. Saturday, four counties received precipitations ranging from 282 mm to 405 mm and another 21 counties reported precipitations between 100 mm and 200 mm.
Flooding inundated farmland, villages and even urban areas and damaged roads.
Five airports have been closed, resulting in the cancellation of nearly 400 flights.
A total of 341 high-speed trains and almost 5,000 buses have also been canceled.
More than 33,000 fishing boats are taking shelter in port.
Air-passenger services and passenger ships to Taiwan across strait have all been suspended.
Power supply is out in some remote areas.
A red rainstorm alert was issued in Putian City, which experienced more than 250 mm of precipitation in four hours early this morning.
Forty-three people in a residential area were rescued by firefighters after floodwater submersed two buildings.


Photo www.theguardian.com
Many buildings have collapsed and landslides were reported in rural and mountainous areas.
Over 22,600 people are checking the city's water projects, local flood control headquarters said.
As the typhoon weakened into a tropical storm after the landing, authorities in Xiamen City lifted the typhoon alert and announced that it would resume the passenger ferry service between Xiamen and Jinmen across the Taiwan Strait on Sunday.
Over the past three days, more than 80 passenger ships have been canceled, affecting about 10,000 passengers.
Typhoon Nepartak made first landfall early on Friday in eastern Taiwan, packing winds of up to 190 km per hour.

Comment by Gerard Zwaan on July 9, 2016 at 12:43am

Super Typhoon Nepartak hit's Taiwan: 331,900 households without power, strongest winds since 1901


Thermal image of Nepartak This is a thermal image of Typhoon Nepartak from the MODIS instrument aboard NASA's Aqua satellite taken on July 7 at 17:45 UTC (1:45 p.m. EDT) as it was approaching Taiwan. Credits: NASA Goddard MODIS Rapid Response

Super Typhoon Nepartak hit Taiwan with powerful winds and torrential rain early on Friday. Thousands of people have been forced to evacuate their homes as the island cancelled hundreds of flights and shut offices and schools for the day.
With gusts of up to 234 kph (145 mph) the typhoon landed at Taimali township in eastern Taitung county shortly before 6:00 am Friday morning (2200 GMT on Thursday).
TV footage showed ferocious winds battering Taitung, which recorded the strongest gusts since 1901, according to Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau.
Almost 15,000 people have been moved from homes that were deemed prone to landslides or flooding.
As many as 331,900 households lost power due to the storm, with close to 255,000 without electricity as of Friday morning.
The government said financial markets, schools and offices would all be closed Friday and the bullet train service suspended.
Most scheduled domestic flights were cancelled while 365 international flights were affected at Taipei's two main airports.
The storm had a radius of 200 kilometres and was moving at a speed of 13 kph.
"It is expected the strength of this typhoon will continue to weaken and slow down in speed," the weather bureau said.


Source: http://www.thebigwobble.org/2016/07/super-typhoon-nepartak-hits-tai...

Comment by KM on July 8, 2016 at 12:25am

https://weather.com/storms/typhoon/news/super-typhoon-nepartak-taiw...

Super Typhoon Nepartak Bearing Down; Landfall Imminent; Heavy Rain A Threat in Eastern China

Super Typhoon Slams Taiwan

Meteorologist Danielle Banks takes a look at Super Typhoon Nepartak on satellite and explains the impacts from the incredibly strong winds slamming into Taiwan. 


Story Highlights

Super Typhoon Nepartak's eyewall is nearing Taiwan.

Heavy rainfall is already lashing eastern and southern Taiwan.

A wind gust of 153 mph was clocked on a buoy east of Taiwan.

Additional heavy rainfall is possible in eastern China from Nepartak this weekend.

The eyewall of Super Typhoon Nepartak is bearing down on Taiwan in what may be the strongest landfall on the island in 45 years of reliable records.

Nepartak is a Category 4 equivalent tropical cyclone, packing maximum sustained winds of 150 mph, according to the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center as of Thursday afternoon, U.S. Eastern time, about 125 miles south-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan.

As of Friday morning (Taiwan time), the east coast of Taiwan has seen 4-8 inches of rainfall with gusts nearing 100 mph. 

The eye of Nepartak is coming ashore, but landfall has not yet occurred. 

Latest on Nepartak

Latest on Nepartak

Latest position, winds, and satellite.

Needless to say, typhoon warnings continue for the entire island. Various alerts for heavy rainfall have also been posted for much of the mountainous central and east of the island, as well as parts of the more populated stretches of northern Taiwan, including Taipei.

Radar from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau (CWB) indicates bands of heavy rain are now lashing Taiwan. Rain rates from 1 to 3 inches per hour were measured in parts of central and southern Taiwan, according to the CWB.

Some wind gusts from 80-100 mph have already reached the east coast of Taiwan, including Feng Nin. At 5 a.m. (Taiwan time) Taitung recorded a wind gust of 125 mph. Higher wind gusts have likely been measured over higher elevations including on the smaller island of Lanyu, where gusts climbed to 160 mph at an elevation over 1,000 feet in the outer eyewall. 

Current Wind Gusts, Enhanced Satellite Image

Current Wind Gusts, Enhanced Satellite Image

Nepartak's "hurricane-force" wind field extends up to 50 miles from the center, so much stronger winds are headed for "mainland Taiwan" in the hours to come, and gusty conditions will continue for Taiwan's smaller outer islands.

A National University of Taiwan buoy happened to sample the eye of ..., local time, measuring a peak wind gust of 153 mph, followed by a minimum pressure of 897 millibars. It is rare for any surface observing system to measure such extreme wind speeds and low pressure while remaining intact.

Tropical cyclones of this intensity are much more common in the western Pacific basin than the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins, but, for perspective, these central pressures are roughly on par with the peak intensities of Hurricanes Rita (895 mb), Camille (900 mb) and Katrina (902 mb).

(MORE: Satellite Images Show Nepartak's Power)

Reconnaissance aircraft missions to precisely measure the typhoon's intensity are not flown over the western Pacific Ocean, by the way, but will resume in 2017.

Nepartak peaked Wednesday, packing maximum estimated sustained winds of 175 mph, becoming the strongest typhoon since Super Typhoon Souldelor in August 2015. 

Nepartak exploded from a tropical storm on July 4 to a Category 5 equivalent super typhoon the following afternoon. 

Nepartak's intensity bumped down a bit late Thursday night, Taiwan time (Taiwan is 12 hours ahead of U.S. EDT), due to the combination of undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle and the beginning of interaction of the circulation with Taiwan's mountainous terrain, according to tropical meteorologist Jose M. Garcia.

Forecast

Typically, typhoons nearing Taiwan will weaken a bit as the circulation interacts with Taiwan's mountains. However, given its intensity, any weakening prior to landfall appears to be largely academic from an impacts standpoint.
 
Nepartak will make landfall in southeast Taiwan, likely still as a Category 4 equivalent typhoon.
 
Projected Path for Nepartak

Projected Path for Nepartak

The red-shaded area denotes the potential path of the center of the tropical cyclone. Note that impacts (particularly heavy rain, high surf, coastal flooding) with any tropical cyclone may spread beyond its forecast path.

 
Conditions will continue to deteriorate along the eastern coast of Taiwan. Battering waves, some coastal water rise, outer bands of locally heavy rain and gusty winds will intensify into the overnight hours.
 
While not as strong as the eyewall winds while over the ocean, Nepartak's most intense winds may impact the more heavily-populated western coast of Taiwan, including the capital city of Taipei, despite any potential weakening.
 
Over one million customers may lose power from high winds in Taiwan. Damaging winds, particularly to any poorly-built structures, and downed trees can also be expected, especially in the eyewall. 
 
Typhoon Soudelor last August triggered the largest power outage event in Taipower's history, leaving 4.8 million customers in the dark, according to Taiwan's Central News Agency.
 
As with most of their tropical cyclones, potentially deadly flash flooding, mud and rockslides are likely in Taiwan, as heavy rains pummel the mountains of the island.
 
Last August, Soudelor produced over a foot of rain in Taipei, and over 50 inches of rain in a mountainous location in northern Taiwan. 
 
The heaviest rain is expected along and to the north and east of Nepartak's track from Taiwan and the southwest Ryukyu Islands of Japan into eastern China.
 
Rainfall Forecast

Rainfall Forecast

Locally heavier rain totals are possible where bands of rain stall for a period of a few hours.

 
As often occurs with tropical cyclones that make a northwest turn in this region, a second swath of overrunning heavy rain may also develop over parts of southwest Japan, including Okinawa's Kadena Air Base, which may also trigger flash flooding.
 
Due to considerable land interaction with Taiwan's terrain, Nepartak is excpected to have weakened considerably by the time it makes its final landfall in eastern China.

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