Approach to Earthquake Prediction from Magnetosphere Simulation

(1) I'm trying to make the earthquake prediction from Input ACE data of Magnetosphere Simulation. 

I have watched some movies of the past images of the magnetosphere from the movie archives in NICT site.

http://www2.nict.go.jp/y/y223/simulation/realtime/movie.html

 

I hope that an earthquake can be expected by looking at Input ACE Data.

It is necessary to examine the relation between the pattern of Input ACE data and the example of past earthquakes from now on, but I think as follows.

When the value of Bz maintains a plus for a long term, and/or when it happens frequently that the value of Bz varies from plus to minus or from minus to plus, in addition, when the value of By varies from plus to minus or from minus to plus, it seems that an earthquake can be caused within several hours or a few days after that.

Of course, the degree of V and/or Dens in Input ACE data as well as a change in Bz and By must be related to the tendency by which an earthquake is caused.

Thus I think it may be possible to know whether a big earthquake occurs or an earthquake occurs frequently soon by watching the time flow chart of Input ACE Data.

 

(2) "Bz" and "Magnetic Field"

Bz > 0 (Green in Input ACE Data) ; S pole lost

Bz < 0 (Red in InPut ACE Dat) ; Normal

 

I don't understand the detail, but it seems that Bz shows a negative value (Bz < 0 ; red) when earth's magnetosphere is in the normal state, and that Bz shows a positive value (Bz > 0 ; green) when the earth's south pole is lost under the influence of planet X. That is, the image of Magnetic Field, whether south pole lost or normal, seems to reflect the value of Bz.

[Example]

* Bz < 0 (Red in InPut ACE Dat) ; Normal

* Bz > 0 (Green in Input ACE Data) ; S pole lost

 

(3) "By" and "Ionospheric Convection"

I don't understand the details, but show a figure from reference below.

https://wiki.oulu.fi/display/SpaceWiki/Ionospheric+convection


[Example] 





 

(4) "V" and "Dens.

" 

[Example] 




(5) "Example of the "time flow chart of Input ACE Data" and "earthquake data."


 1) Example of 20110703



2) Example of 20110725




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Comment by S.V. on July 29, 2011 at 6:04am

Thanks for sharing.   I can see that you have put a lot of research and thought into this analysis. 

Comment by EOConcepts on July 28, 2011 at 3:48pm

Great analysis, you seem to be on to something!

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